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o3 Pro News
Prediction markets for o3 Pro
Prediction markets for o3 Pro
On Dec 31, 2025, will a widely available AI model be able to write a sophisticated 2000 line program?
Dec 28, 2:47 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
71.5%
chance
23
3794
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1584
631
Best public AI model uses "We" in CoT by EOY 2025?
Jun 1, 7:38 PM
Dec 1, 11:59 PM
21.83%
chance
12
1345
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1892
528
OpenAI maintains top position on LiveBench by August 25, 2025?
Jul 26, 10:52 AM
Aug 24, 9:00 PM
57.97%
chance
4
41
Option
Votes
NO
YES
143
100
Will "Research Notes: Running Claude 3.7, Gemini 2...." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
May 23, 8:50 PM
Feb 1, 12:00 AM
15.79%
chance
1
20
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1020
885
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