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Prediction markets for o3 Pro
Prediction markets for o3 Pro
Best public AI model uses "We" in CoT by EOY 2025?
Jun 1, 7:38 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
48.2%
chance
27
7060
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1037
965
On Dec 31, 2025, will a widely available AI model be able to write a sophisticated 2000 line program?
Dec 28, 2:47 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
12.28%
chance
26
6937
Option
Votes
YES
NO
2672
374
Will DeepSeek V3.2 get >145 on the Epoch Capabilities Index (ECI)?
Dec 2, 1:10 AM
Jan 1, 1:09 AM
38%
chance
4
597
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1277
783
Will "Research Notes: Running Claude 3.7, Gemini 2...." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
May 23, 8:50 PM
Feb 1, 12:00 AM
15.79%
chance
1
20
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1020
885
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