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Prediction markets for ODS

Bloomberg Odd Lots with Josh Wolfe: Will the field of Robotics have its "ChatGPT moment" by December 31, 2025?

Jan 7, 1:57 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

7.82%chance

1029138455

OptionVotes

YES

NO

344298

43497

Are there any odd perfect numbers?

Feb 7, 5:43 AMDec 31, 11:00 AM

9.07%chance

252802

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1340

923

Chess with queen odds solved by 2035?

Jan 3, 4:07 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

8.59%chance

202627

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2136

796

Will Oda add Jack Sparrow to One Piece?

Aug 19, 2:47 PMJan 1, 12:59 AM

14.66%chance

272261

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2412

415

what are the odds that backblaze is backdoored?

Oct 8, 3:48 AMJan 2, 6:59 AM

31.71%chance

161653

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1468

681

Will Eiichiro Oda complete the One Piece manga before he passes away?

Mar 21, 3:28 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

87.77%chance

221425

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1716

831

Trump dies in an odd number year

Jun 26, 7:45 AMJun 27, 6:59 AM

50.95%chance

28733

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1000

999

Chess with queen odds solved by 2040?

Jan 25, 2:59 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

17.29%chance

14622

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1145

911

Will anyone give @Krantz action at 100:1 odds that his algorithm is a solution to alignment?

Jul 22, 6:17 PMJan 1, 7:12 PM

4.74%chance

3536

OptionVotes

YES

NO

448

22

Putin dies in an odd number year

Jun 26, 7:43 AMJun 27, 6:59 AM

49.46%chance

21478

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1002

994

Least point odds for white in a solved odds chess game by 2040

Feb 10, 11:48 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

40%chance

6202

OptionProbability

YES

NO

442

263

Will the Lunar Reconnaissance Orbiter successfully range the Laser Retro-reflector Array on IM-1 Odysseus?

Feb 27, 11:30 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

74.8%chance

8190

OptionVotes

NO

YES

342

155

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