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Prediction markets for of July

Department of Education abolished by July 4, 2026

Nov 21, 7:57 AMJul 4, 12:00 AM

15.09%chance

325579

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2372

422

Will a majority of tariffs Trump announces in letters in July go into effect for at least a day before September 8?

Jul 14, 6:19 PMSep 7, 11:59 PM

82.93%chance

174626

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2204

454

Will Trump reduce the power of the filibuster before July 2025?

Nov 13, 2:31 AMNov 2, 5:59 AM

9.1%chance

82450

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3161

316

Will Levi's discord server have 20+ members at the end of July?

Jul 20, 6:51 PMJul 31, 9:59 PM

82.52%chance

131812

OptionVotes

NO

YES

293

133

Will one of the July 2023 Atlas Fellows Become A billionaire by the age of 30?

Jul 31, 12:23 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

5.92%chance

131403

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1605

899

Will an AI system design a pathogen which leads WHO to declare an emergency of some sort by the end of the July, 2030?

Jul 31, 7:50 AMJul 31, 1:29 AM

20.51%chance

26410

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1017

980

Will a Blood Meridian movie release before Fourth of July 2027?

Dec 22, 3:08 PMJul 5, 3:59 AM

54.26%chance

9403

OptionVotes

NO

YES

176

163

Will there be a manifest in july of 2026?

Aug 8, 1:51 AMAug 2, 4:59 AM

34.67%chance

5387

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1373

728

Will evidence supporting the existence of a primordial black hole in the outer solar system be published by July 2026?

May 1, 2:37 AMJun 30, 11:59 PM

6.72%chance

6295

OptionVotes

YES

NO

373

27

Will any of the top 10 "popular" Webtoons on July 1, 2026 openly use AI art?

Mar 30, 12:08 AMJul 1, 10:59 PM

41.04%chance

9213

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1199

834

Will Trump set foot in Greenland by the end of July 2026?

Aug 1, 12:58 AMJul 31, 11:59 PM

18.23%chance

7146

OptionVotes

YES

NO

212

47

Will the American Boxing Revival Act of 2025 (ABRA) be signed into law by July 4, 2026.

Jul 28, 7:15 PMJul 4, 11:59 PM

52.46%chance

271

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1051

952

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