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Prediction markets for Offer for Sale

In how many months will I get a job?

Mar 7, 12:53 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

458060

Will FTX raise a down round before the end of 2026?

Oct 30, 12:51 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

4.56%chance

257908

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3052

599

8. OpenAI, Anthropic and other frontier labs will begin ‘moving up the stack,’ [...] building applications

Dec 27, 8:22 AMJan 3, 10:59 PM

93.64%chance

163091

OptionVotes

NO

YES

3838

261

2030 – 3. Over one hundred thousand humanoid robots will be deployed in the real world.

Mar 11, 12:08 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

82.06%chance

372697

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1928

630

By 2030, will China have reached GPU parity with the US?

Oct 17, 8:38 PMDec 24, 11:59 PM

53.46%chance

191008

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1018

973

Can I earn €100+ in 30 days monetizing AI songs made with SUNO?

Jun 10, 3:19 PMAug 22, 3:17 PM

7.45%chance

14411

OptionVotes

YES

NO

352

28

When will I be able to buy a switch 2 from Amazon (US) at retail price?

Jul 8, 11:44 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

2210

OptionProbability

December 2025

November 2025

October 2025

September 2025

August 2025

July 2025

69

63

61

58

53

0

Will SpaceX reach $450B valuation in the next year?

Dec 11, 10:39 PMDec 15, 9:59 PM

65.19%chance

6200

OptionVotes

NO

YES

137

73

Conditional on no Doom by 2030, will China have reached GPU parity with the US?

Oct 17, 8:24 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

26%chance

5103

OptionVotes

YES

NO

122

70

Robinhood fined for OpenAI token sale before 2028?

Jul 3, 9:39 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

45.97%chance

459

OptionVotes

YES

NO

108

92

[IMF] Insured Mana Fund

Apr 25, 11:50 AM

00

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