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Prediction markets for Office Space
Prediction markets for Office Space
Will SpaceX be nationalized during Trump's second term?
Jun 5, 9:53 PM
Jan 19, 11:59 PM
6.38%
chance
22
3566
Option
Votes
YES
NO
3830
261
If I submit this possible grammar error (in description) to Eliezer Yudkowsky, will he say it's not actually an error?
Apr 3, 3:18 AM
Dec 9, 12:59 AM
22.17%
chance
24
1245
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1841
553
Will I have a reliable automated home cleaner by 2028?
Sep 29, 6:41 PM
Jan 1, 5:00 AM
51%
chance
29
1242
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1242
668
Jail or prison on the moon any time through 2033
Sep 20, 5:12 AM
Jan 2, 7:59 AM
4.75%
chance
21
1135
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1827
910
Will Anthropic substantially reduce its London office size?
Jun 13, 1:25 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
26.99%
chance
4
645
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1645
608
Will a Democratic president begin demolishing Trump’s White House ballroom before 2029
May 14, 7:21 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
32.3%
chance
13
619
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1448
691
what will be donald Trump next project
Jun 26, 8:06 AM
Jul 26, 8:04 AM
44.06%
chance
5
48
Option
Votes
YES
NO
113
89
Mike Judge artworks preserved by Library of Congress as culturally or aesthetically significant before 2050
Dec 20, 11:57 PM
Dec 27, 2:59 PM
71.46%
chance
3
35
Option
Votes
NO
YES
125
69
If AI were the internet, what year would we be in with regards to progress and maturity
Feb 16, 11:53 PM
28
0
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