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OptionProbability
On Sunday, 08/24, will Iowa State be undefeated?
On Sunday, 08/24, will UNLV be undefeated?
On Sunday, 08/24, will Kansas be undefeated?
On Sunday, 08/24, will Western Kentucky be undefeated?
On Sunday, 08/24, will Hawai'i be undefeated?
On Sunday, 11/30, will Ohio State be undefeated?
On Sunday, 08/31, will Penn State be undefeated?
On Sunday, 08/31, will Ohio State be undefeated?
On Sunday, 08/31, will Georgia be undefeated?
On Sunday, 08/31, will Oregon be undefeated?
On Sunday, 08/31, will LSU be undefeated?
On Sunday, 08/31, will Miami be undefeated?
On Sunday, 08/31, will San Diego State be undefeated?
On Sunday, 09/07, will Penn State be undefeated?
On Sunday, 09/07, will Ohio State be undefeated?
On Sunday, 09/07, will Georgia be undefeated?
On Sunday, 09/07, will Oregon be undefeated?
On Sunday, 09/07, will LSU be undefeated?
On Sunday, 09/07, will Miami be undefeated?
On Sunday, 09/07, will Illinois be undefeated?
On Sunday, 09/07, will South Carolina be undefeated?
On Sunday, 09/07, will Oklahoma be undefeated?
On Sunday, 11/23, will Indiana be undefeated?
On Sunday, 11/23, will Texas A&M be undefeated?
On Sunday, 09/07, will Iowa State be undefeated?
On Sunday, 09/14, will Georgia be undefeated?
On Sunday, 09/21, will Georgia be undefeated?
On Sunday, 09/14, will Ohio State be undefeated?
On Sunday, 09/21, will Ohio State be undefeated?
On Sunday, 09/28, will Ohio State be undefeated?
On Sunday, 09/14, will Oregon be undefeated?
On Sunday, 09/21, will Oregon be undefeated?
On Sunday, 09/14, will Penn State be undefeated?
On Sunday, 09/21, will Penn State be undefeated?
On Sunday, 09/07, will San Diego State be undefeated?
On Sunday, 09/07, will Memphis be undefeated?
On Sunday, 09/14, will Memphis be undefeated?
On Sunday, 09/14, will Illinois be undefeated?
On Sunday, 09/07, will Utah be undefeated?
On Sunday, 09/14, will Utah be undefeated?
On Sunday, 09/14, will UNLV be undefeated?
On Sunday, 09/14, will Iowa State be undefeated?
On Sunday, 09/21, will UNLV be undefeated?
On Sunday, 09/21, will Iowa State be undefeated?
On Sunday, 10/05, will Ohio State be undefeated?
On Sunday, 10/12, will Ohio State be undefeated?
On Sunday, 09/14, will LSU be undefeated?
On Sunday, 09/21, will LSU be undefeated?
On Sunday, 09/14, will Ole Miss be undefeated?
On Sunday, 09/14, will Indiana be undefeated?
On Sunday, 09/14, will Georgia Tech be undefeated?
On Sunday, 09/14, will Oklahoma be undefeated?
On Sunday, 09/21, will Navy be undefeated?
On Sunday, 09/21, will Memphis be undefeated?
On Sunday, 09/21, will North Texas be undefeated?
On Sunday, 09/21, will Georgia Tech be undefeated?
On Sunday, 09/21, will Miami be undefeated?
On Sunday, 09/21, will Houston be undefeated?
On Sunday, 09/21, will Texas Tech be undefeated?
On Sunday, 09/21, will USC be undefeated?
On Sunday, 09/28, will Iowa State be undefeated?
On Sunday, 09/28, will Navy be undefeated?
On Sunday, 09/28, will North Texas be undefeated?
On Sunday, 09/28, will Memphis be undefeated?
On Sunday, 10/05, will Oregon be undefeated?
On Sunday, 10/05, will Miami be undefeated?
On Sunday, 10/05, will Ole Miss be undefeated?
On Sunday, 10/05, will Oklahoma be undefeated?
On Sunday, 10/05, will Texas A&M be undefeated?
On Sunday, 10/05, will Indiana be undefeated?
On Sunday, 11/30, will Indiana be undefeated?
On Sunday, 10/05, will BYU be undefeated?
On Sunday, 10/05, will Georgia Tech be undefeated?
On Sunday, 10/05, will Memphis be undefeated?
On Sunday, 10/05, will Missouri be undefeated?
On Sunday, 10/05, will Navy be undefeated?
On Sunday, 10/05, will Texas Tech be undefeated?
On Sunday, 10/05, will UNLV be undefeated?
On Sunday, 11/23, will Ohio State be undefeated?
On Sunday, 10/12, will BYU be undefeated?
On Sunday, 10/12, will Georgia Tech be undefeated?
On Sunday, 10/12, will Indiana be undefeated?
On Sunday, 10/12, will Miami be undefeated?
On Sunday, 10/12, will Ole Miss be undefeated?
On Sunday, 10/12, will Mississippi be undefeated?
On Sunday, 10/12, will Texas A&M be undefeated?
On Sunday, 10/12, will Memphis be undefeated?
On Sunday, 10/12, will Navy be undefeated?
On Sunday, 10/12, will Texas Tech be undefeated?
On Sunday, 10/19, will Ohio State be undefeated?
On Sunday, 10/19, will Texas A&M be undefeated?
On Sunday, 10/19, will Indiana be undefeated?
On Sunday, 10/19, will BYU be undefeated?
On Sunday, 10/19, will Georgia Tech be undefeated?
On Sunday, 10/26, will Navy be undefeated?
On Sunday, 10/26, will Ohio State be undefeated?
On Sunday, 10/26, will Indiana be undefeated?
On Sunday, 10/26, will Georgia Tech be undefeated?
On Sunday, 10/26, will Texas A&M be undefeated?
On Sunday, 10/26, will BYU be undefeated
On Sunday, 11/02, will Ohio State be undefeated?
On Sunday, 11/09, will Ohio State be undefeated?
On Sunday, 11/16, will Ohio State be undefeated?
On Sunday, 11/02, will Texas A&M be undefeated?
On Sunday, 11/02, will Indiana be undefeated?
On Sunday, 11/02, will BYU be undefeated?
On Sunday, 11/09, will Indiana be undefeated?
On Sunday, 11/09, will Texas A&M be undefeated?
On Sunday, 11/16, will Indiana be undefeated?
On Sunday, 11/16, will Texas A&M be undefeated?
On Sunday, 12/07 will Ohio State be undefeated?
On Sunday, 12/21 will Ohio State be undefeated?
On Sunday, 12/07, will Indiana be undefeated?
On Sunday, 12/21, will Indiana be undefeated?
On Sunday, 08/24, will Kansas State be undefeated?
On Sunday, 08/24, will Idaho State be undefeated?
On Sunday, 08/24, will Fresno State be undefeated?
On Sunday, 08/24, will Sam Houston be undefeated?
On Sunday, 08/24, will Stanford be undefeated?
On Sunday, 08/31, will Texas be undefeated?
On Sunday, 09/07, will Texas be undefeated?
On Sunday, 09/14, will Texas be undefeated?
On Sunday, 09/21, will Texas be undefeated?
On Sunday, 09/28, will Texas be undefeated?
On Sunday, 10/05, will Texas be undefeated?
On Sunday, 10/12, will Texas be undefeated?
On Sunday, 10/19, will Texas be undefeated?
On Sunday, 10/26, will Texas be undefeated?
On Sunday, 11/02, will Texas be undefeated?
On Sunday, 11/09, will Texas be undefeated?
On Sunday, 11/16, will Texas be undefeated?
On Sunday, 11/23, will Texas be undefeated?
On Sunday, 11/30, will Texas be undefeated?
On Sunday, 11/30, will Penn State be undefeated?
On Sunday, 11/30, will Clemson be undefeated?
On Sunday, 11/30, will Georgia be undefeated?
On Sunday, 11/30, will Notre Dame be undefeated?
On Sunday, 08/31, will Clemson be undefeated?
On Sunday, 08/31, will Notre Dame be undefeated?
On Sunday, 08/31, will Alabama be undefeated?
On Sunday, 11/30, will Michigan be undefeated?
On Sunday, 11/30, will Ole Miss be undefeated?
On Sunday, 08/31, will Stony Brook be undefeated?
On Sunday, 09/07, will Clemson be undefeated?
On Sunday, 09/07, will Notre Dame be undefeated?
On Sunday, 09/07, will Alabama be undefeated?
On Sunday, 09/07, will Arizona State be undefeated?
On Sunday, 09/07, will Michigan be undefeated?
On Sunday, 09/07, will SMU be undefeated?
On Sunday, 09/07, will Florida be undefeated?
On Sunday, 09/07, will Kansas State be undefeated?
On Sunday, 11/23, will Oklahoma be undefeated?
On Sunday, 11/23, will Kansas State be undefeated?
On Sunday, 11/23, will SMU be undefeated?
On Sunday, 11/23, will Florida be undefeated?
On Sunday, 11/23, will Iowa State be undefeated?
On Sunday, 09/07, will Western Kentucky be undefeated?
On Sunday, 11/23, will Western Kentucky be undefeated?
On Sunday, 09/28, will Georgia be undefeated?
On Sunday, 09/07, will Kansas be undefeated?
On Sunday, 11/30, will Memphis be undefeated?
On Sunday, 09/07, will Boston College be undefeated?
On Sunday, 09/14, will Boston College be undefeated?
On Sunday, 11/30, will Boston College be undefeated?
On Sunday, 09/21, will Illinois be undefeated?
On Sunday, 11/30, will Illinois be undefeated?
On Sunday, 09/14, will Western Kentucky be undefeated?
On Sunday, 11/30, will Western Kentucky be undefeated?
On Sunday, 09/07, will Bowing Green be undefeated?
On Sunday, 11/30, will Bowing Green be undefeated?
On Sunday, 11/30, will UNLV be undefeated?
On Sunday, 11/30, will Air Force be undefeated?
On Sunday, 11/30, will Washington State be undefeated?
On Sunday, 11/30, will Arkansas be undefeated?
On Sunday, 09/21, will Arkansas be undefeated?
On Sunday, 11/30, will Miami be undefeated?
On Sunday, 11/30, will Utah be undefeated?
On Sunday, 09/28, will Penn State be undefeated?
On Sunday, 10/05, will Penn State be undefeated?
On Sunday, 09/28, will LSU be undefeated?
On Sunday, 09/14, will Texas State be undefeated?
On Sunday, 11/30, will Texas State be undefeated?
On Sunday, 09/14, will Appalachian State be undefeated?
On Sunday, 11/30, will Appalachian State be undefeated?
On Sunday, 09/14, will Arkansas be undefeated?
On Sunday, 09/28, will Arkansas be undefeated?
On Sunday, 09/14, will Auburn be undefeated?
On Sunday, 09/21, will Auburn be undefeated?
On Sunday, 11/30, will Auburn be undefeated?
On Sunday, 09/21, will Wyoming be undefeated?
On Sunday, 09/14, will Wyoming be undefeated?
On Sunday, 09/14, will Indiana State be undefeated?
On Sunday, 11/30, will Indiana State be undefeated?
On Sunday, 09/21, will Tulane be undefeated?
On Sunday, 09/21, will North Carolina State be undefeated?
On Sunday, 09/21, will Cal be undefeated?
On Sunday, 11/30, will Georgia Tech be undefeated?
On Sunday, 09/21, will Utah be undefeated?
On Sunday, 09/21, will Michigan be undefeated?
On Sunday, 11/30, will Oregon be undefeated?
On Sunday, 11/30, will Missouri be undefeated?
On Sunday, 11/30, will USC be undefeated?
On Sunday, 11/30, will LSU be undefeated?
On Sunday, 11/30, will Florida State be undefeated?
On Sunday, 11/30, will BYU be undefeated?
On Sunday, 11/30, will Houston be undefeated?
On Sunday, 11/30, will Iowa State be undefeated?
On Sunday, 11/30, will Louisville be undefeated?
On Sunday, 11/30, will Maryland be undefeated?
On Sunday, 11/30, will Navy be undefeated?
On Sunday, 11/30, will North Texas be undefeated?
On Sunday, 11/30, will Oklahoma be undefeated?
On Sunday, 11/30, will Texas Tech be undefeated?
On Sunday, 11/30, will Vanderbilt be undefeated?
On Sunday, 10/05, will Houston be undefeated?
On Sunday, 10/05, will Iowa State be undefeated?
On Sunday, 10/05, will Louisville be undefeated?
On Sunday, 10/05, will Maryland be undefeated?
On Sunday, 10/05, will Vanderbilt be undefeated?
On Sunday, 10/12, will Oregon be undefeated?
On Sunday, 10/12, will Oklahoma be undefeated?
On Sunday, 10/12, will Missouri be undefeated?
On Sunday, 10/12, will North Texas be undefeated?
On Sunday, 11/23, will Miami be undefeated?
On Sunday, 10/19, will Miami be undefeated?
On Sunday, 10/19, will Ole Miss be undefeated?
On Sunday, 11/30, will Texas A&M be undefeated?
On Sunday, 11/23, will Ole Miss be undefeated?
On Sunday, 10/19, will Texas Tech be undefeated?
On Sunday, 11/23, will Texas Tech be undefeated?
On Sunday, 10/19, will Memphis be undefeated?
On Sunday, 11/23, will Memphis be undefeated
On Sunday, 11/16, will Memphis be undefeated
On Sunday, 11/09, will Memphis be undefeated
On Sunday, 11/02, will Memphis be undefeated
On Sunday, 11/23, will BYU be undefeated?
On Sunday, 10/19, will UNLV be undefeated?
On Sunday, 11/23, will Georgia Tech be undefeated?
On Sunday, 11/23, will Navy be undefeated?
On Sunday, 11/02, will Georgia Tech be undefeated?
On Sunday, 11/02, will Navy be undefeated?
On Sunday, 11/09, will BYU be undefeated?
On Sunday, 11/16, will BYU be undefeated?
On Sunday, 12/07, will Texas A&M be undefeated?
On Sunday, 12/21, will Texas A&M be undefeated?
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
61
61
39
39
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
OptionProbability
Georgia
Ohio State
Oregon
Oklahoma
Ole Miss
Texas A&M
Indiana
Tulane
Texas Tech
Alabama
Notre Dame
Virginia
JMU
BYU
Miami (FL)
Duke
Texas
Utah
Louisville
Navy
Michigan
Washington
Penn State
Missouri
USC
Liberty
LSU
K-State
Arizona
Toledo
Florida State
Tennessee
Clemson
Boise State
SMU
Iowa State
Army
Washington State
Colorado
Pitt
South Carolina
Arizona State
South Florida
Auburn
TCU
California
Georgia Tech
Memphis
Vanderbilt
Illinois
Old Dominion
North Texas
Iowa
UNLV
99
99
99
99
99
99
99
99
97
92
76
67
33
23
13
3
2
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
0
OptionProbability
Compatible with Switch 1 Joy-Cons (even if only Bluetooth)
Backwards compatible with physical Switch 1 games
Backwards compatible with digital Switch 1 games
Crossplay with Switch 1 in any first-party game released within the first 6 months after launch
Multiple launch SKUs
Launch title (game released on the same day as the system) with "Mario" in the name
Name of the console contains the word "Switch"
The name of the console is correctly leaked over two weeks before it is revealed
Launch day system software includes a Mii maker
Launch title (game released on the same day as the system) with "World" in the name
Launch title (game released on the same day as the system) that also came out/is coming out for Switch 1
Backwards compatible with physical Switch 1 games, AND allows you to play a better looking or performing version of at least one Switch 1 game with the original Switch 1 cartridge within 6 months of the console launching
Joy-Cons can be used as a mouse
A new pro controller will be released on the same day the console comes out
New SKU not available at launch available within one year after release
More than two themes before 2027
Any launch SKU has a MSRP not ending in "9.99" in the US
Name of the console contains the word "Super"
Name of the console contains the word "New"
Any launch SKU has an OLED screen
Over 180 days between reveal and release (July 15 deadline)
Revealed this week (before September 21st, 11:59:59pm ET)
Launch title (game released on the same day as the system) with "Zelda" in the name
Launch day system software includes an internet browser (general-purpose browser that deliberately allows access to the wider Web, like the 3DS or Wii U browser)
No launch SKU has 12GB RAM
No launch SKU has 256GB storage
Name of at least one launch SKU contains "XL"
The cheapest launch SKU costs ≤$300
Will have some kind of "achievements" or "trophies" system (under any name)
The Joy-Cons have inside-out tracking (via camera or LiDAR)
Has a social media or video-sharing service called Vidmiio (announced or available by launch)
First-party Joy-Cons attach or detach using electromagnets
A launch SKU has Joy-Cons that have a non-grayscale shell (as opposed to the black shells in the trailer).
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
34
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
OptionProbability
Ohio State Buckeyes (Big Ten)
Indiana Hoosiers (Big Ten)
Georgia Bulldogs (SEC)
Oregon Ducks (Big Ten)
Notre Dame
Texas Tech Red Raiders (Big 12)
Texas A&M Aggies (SEC)
Alabama Crimson Tide (SEC)
Other
Ole Miss Rebels (SEC)
Oklahoma Sooners (SEC)
Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets (ACC)
BYU Cougars (Big 12)
Virginia Cavaliers (ACC)
Duke
Florida State Seminoles (ACC)
Texas Longhorns (SEC)
Michigan Wolverines (Big Ten)
Missouri Tigers (SEC)
Arizona Wildcats (Big 12)
Washington Huskies (Big Ten)
LSU Tigers (SEC)
Penn State (Big Ten)
Miami Hurricanes (ACC)
35
19
8
6
6
5
5
4
4
1
1
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
OptionProbability
Arkansas - Sam Pittman
Auburn - Hugh Freeze
Florida - Billy Napier
Kentucky - Mark Stoops
LSU - Brian Kelly
Ole Miss - Lane Kiffin
Missouri - Eli Drinkwitz
Oklahoma - Brent Venables
South Carolina - Shane Beamer
Mississippi State - Jeff Lebby
Texas - Steve Sarkisian
Alabama - Kalen DeBoer
Vanderbilt - Clark Lea
Tennessee - Josh Heupel
Texas A&M - Mike Elko
Georgia - Kirby Smart
100
100
100
100
100
100
44
22
20
12
10
9
7
6
6
1
OptionVotes
YES
NO
1655
604
OptionProbability
2026
2028
2027
2023
2024
2025
Later than 2028 or Never
Other
46
26
24
1
1
1
1
1
OptionProbability
On 2026/01/01, will Texas Tech be undefeated?
On 2026/01/01, will LSU be undefeated?
On 2026/01/01, will UConn be undefeated?
On 2026/01/01, will Texas be undefeated?
On 2026/01/01, will Maryland be undefeated?
On 2026/01/01, will TCU be undefeated?
On 2026/01/01, will Iowa be undefeated?
On 2026/01/01, will Iowa State be undefeated?
On 2026/01/01, will Ole Miss be undefeated?
On 2026/01/01, will Vanderbilt be undefeated?
On 2026/03/02, will Texas be undefeated?
On 2026/03/02, will UConn be undefeated?
On 2026/03/02, will TCU be undefeated?
On 2026/03/02, will LSU be undefeated?
On 2026/03/02, will South Carolina be undefeated?
On 2026/03/02, will UCLA be undefeated?
On 2026/03/02, will USC be undefeated?
On 2026/03/02, will Duke be undefeated?
On 2026/03/02, will Oklahoma be undefeated?
On 2026/03/02, will Tennessee be undefeated?
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
25
25
25
25
0
0
0
0
0
0
OptionVotes
YES
NO
802
72
OptionVotes
YES
NO
506
19
OptionVotes
NO
YES
154
113
OptionProbability
2024
2025
Never - Sony will always be a supplier
2023
25
25
25
24
