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Top stories

$OpenAI, DeepMind AIs Hit Gold-Medal Mark at International Math Olympiad$

OpenAI, DeepMind AIs Hit Gold-Medal Mark at International Math Olympiad

Authors

100

12 days ago

$Google DeepMind and OpenAI LLMs Achieve Gold at 2025 Math Olympiad$

Google DeepMind and OpenAI LLMs Achieve Gold at 2025 Math Olympiad

Authors

35

3 days ago

Prediction markets for Olympiad

Will an AI get at least silver on International Olympiad in Informatics (IOI) by end of 2025?

Aug 9, 4:47 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

98.06%chance

85394745

OptionVotes

NO

YES

6939

128

Will OpenAI o1 (or any direct iteration like o3) get gold on any International Math Olympiad by the end of 2025?

Sep 12, 5:55 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

27.84%chance

143124072

OptionVotes

YES

NO

14589

9133

When will an open-sourced AI win a Gold Medal in the International Math Olympiad?

May 26, 11:35 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

67112101

Will an AI score 1st place on International Math Olympiad (IMO) 2025?

Jul 26, 3:04 AMAug 20, 10:59 PM

2.47%chance

18096812

OptionVotes

YES

NO

6287

159

Will an AI get bronze or silver (but not gold) on any International Math Olympiad by end of 2025?

Jul 23, 1:21 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

72.31%chance

22688584

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1963

741

Will AI get at least bronze on the International Olympiad in Informatics (IOI) before 2026?

Aug 9, 4:47 AMJan 2, 5:59 AM

93.93%chance

7428716

OptionVotes

NO

YES

3870

423

Perfect score achieved by an AI model in the International Math Olympiad (IMO) 2026?

Jul 19, 2:29 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

69.56%chance

6015052

OptionVotes

YES

NO

9919

9893

Will the AIMO (Artificial Intelligence Mathematical Olympiad) Grand Prize be won before 2026?

May 18, 2:18 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

16.76%chance

249794

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2229

449

When will an AI win the $5 million XTX AI Mathematical Olympiad Prize?

Nov 29, 5:50 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

484858

OptionProbability

2025

2026

2027

2030 or later

2028

2029

2024

30

23

16

16

8

6

1

West coast best coast (in math olympiads)?

Nov 21, 8:22 PMAug 1, 6:59 AM

16.22%chance

353909

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2084

587

Will GPT-5 be able to get gold on the International Mathematical Olympiad?

Mar 4, 1:06 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

16.35%chance

211834

OptionVotes

NO

YES

987

811

Open-Source AI model gets perfect IMO 2026 score? [International Math Olympiad 2026]

Jul 19, 2:27 PMJul 31, 11:59 PM

46.03%chance

101723

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1083

923

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