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Prediction markets for OM

@OmniDestiny Stock (Permanent)

Dec 13, 1:20 AMAug 11, 9:43 PM

181522

OptionProbability

YES

NO

352

310

OmniZherka vs BurkaZherka (permanent)

Apr 9, 11:30 PMJan 1, 9:59 PM

46%chance

191487

OptionVotes

YES

NO

307

101

Before 2027, will a frontier AI model achieve an AA-Omniscience hallucination rate below 5%?

Nov 23, 10:48 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

32.23%chance

3450

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1450

690

Will Ilhan Omar be a Member of Congress at the end of 2026?

Dec 11, 10:29 AMDec 31, 10:28 AM

89.17%chance

8263

OptionVotes

NO

YES

287

35

Will "Omniscaling to MNIST" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

Mar 27, 7:36 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

11.64%chance

1200

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1200

971

Will "Omelas Is Perfectly Misread" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

Oct 3, 10:21 AMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

16.39%chance

4149

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1026

852

Omnicide

Nov 13, 3:22 PMAug 11, 9:43 PM

7140

OptionProbability

YES

NO

180

129

Will omega-6 be listed separately on food labels in the US by 2030?

Oct 28, 1:18 AMDec 31, 5:59 AM

45.85%chance

2111

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1087

920

Will latch.bio, retro.bio, mox, or lighthaven get a libernovo Omni dynamic ergonomic chair by eoy2031

Nov 9, 12:08 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

30.77%chance

150

OptionVotes

YES

NO

150

67

Will OMICmAge have a standard deviation lower than GrimAge2?

Sep 11, 12:09 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

50%chance

125

OptionVotes

NO

YES

50

50

If Trump is elected in 2024, will omega-6 be listed on US food labels by 2030?

Oct 28, 1:23 AMDec 31, 5:59 AM

39.02%chance

125

OptionVotes

YES

NO

125

80

Will Feng Timo have a OMICm age >10 years younger than her chronological age?

Nov 10, 7:28 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

50.02%chance

223

OptionVotes

NO

YES

70

70

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