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Prediction markets for On Close

Will San Francisco put a ‘Reopen the Great Highway / Close Sunset Dunes Park’ measure on a 2026 ballot?

Jan 8, 2:52 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

96%chance

3834003

OptionVotes

NO

YES

21719

154

Will the S&P 500 close above 7883.34 on December 31, 2026?

Jan 6, 2:50 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

65.23%chance

4724076

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1370

730

[ACX 2026] Will Nvidia's stock price close below $100 on any day in 2026?

Jan 6, 11:58 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

4.97%chance

3820182

OptionVotes

YES

NO

14253

4229

In the next five years, will Nvidia's stock drop by 30% from its price at market close on 3/7/24?

Mar 8, 1:23 PMMar 9, 4:59 AM

18.91%chance

9911453

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2221

334

Anthropic closing market cap on IPO day?

Jun 1, 8:24 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

244909

OptionProbability

1 trillion or higher?

1.2 trillion or higher?

1.5 trillion or higher?

1.8 trillion or higher?

2 trillion or higher?

2.4 trillion or higher?

2.7 trillion or higher?

3 trillion or higher?

4 trillion or higher?

93

91

88

70

63

30

21

14

6

Will Elon Musk shut down Twitter by end of 2027? (conditioned on deal closing)

Jun 15, 4:12 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

4.31%chance

232515

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2760

819

Will Anthropic's closing price be greater than its opening price on its first trading day?

Jul 2, 3:46 PMJan 1, 12:00 AM

79.67%chance

201203

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1979

505

Will Bitcoin close above $150,000 on December 31, 2026?

Jun 18, 7:12 PMJan 1, 12:00 AM

1.55%chance

91115

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1009

34

Will total trading volume on this market exceed M25 before it closes?

Sep 14, 4:31 AMSep 28, 4:31 AM

98.33%chance

10648

OptionVotes

NO

YES

684

10

Will the closing price of silver exceed $65 at the end of September, 2026 based on the SI=F ticker on Yahoo Finance

Sep 4, 4:48 PMSep 30, 11:59 PM

58.45%chance

11284

OptionVotes

NO

YES

119

84

Will there be a race of commercial self-driving cars on a closed race track by end of 2029.

Sep 26, 3:05 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

61.11%chance

6260

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1254

798

Will Closed Captioning be required on most U.S. broadcast TV ads in or before 2035?

Feb 9, 12:41 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

22.17%chance

2150

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1026

901

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