One Dance News

Is the "Promethean virus" in Large Language Models real?

Jun 7, 10:50 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

13.02%chance

7532370

OptionVotes

YES

25533

3383

Will I be impressed by someone using RL through self-play to improve model creativity or aesthetics in 2025?

Jan 27, 12:36 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

45.5%chance

6731

OptionVotes

YES

10255

9775

Will the arrested labour councillor, Ricky Jones, be sentenced for longer than a year?

Aug 8, 6:17 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

31.36%chance

4119

OptionVotes

YES

148

What will be the next book/story in the “A Song of Ice and Fire” universe released by George R. R. Martin (in his life)?

Apr 8, 5:11 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

3108

OptionProbability

A book in the main ASOIAF series (ie a sequel to “A Dance with Dragons”, eg “The Winds of Winter”)

A sequel to “Fire & Blood”

A “Dunk and Egg” story or stories

A different in-universe non-fiction book/story

Martin will not release another book/story in the ASOIAF universe in his lifetime

A different fiction book/story

Will Dance of the Dead's record be broken for most text on a Magic card before 2030?

Sep 30, 6:30 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

26.38%chance

561

OptionVotes

YES

127

Which POV character will have the fewest chapters in "The Winds of Winter" (excl. Prologue/Epilogue/characters with 0)?

Aug 24, 4:38 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

325

OptionProbability

Other

Areo Hotah

Aeron Greyjoy

Victarion Greyjoy

Melisandre

Help my house find a new roommate

Aug 15, 5:05 PMAug 16, 6:59 AM

One Dance News

Prediction markets for One Dance

Prediction markets for One Dance

Prediction markets for One Dance

Is the "Promethean virus" in Large Language Models real?

Will I be impressed by someone using RL through self-play to improve model creativity or aesthetics in 2025?

Will the arrested labour councillor, Ricky Jones, be sentenced for longer than a year?

What will be the next book/story in the “A Song of Ice and Fire” universe released by George R. R. Martin (in his life)?

Will Dance of the Dead's record be broken for most text on a Magic card before 2030?

Which POV character will have the fewest chapters in "The Winds of Winter" (excl. Prologue/Epilogue/characters with 0)?

Help my house find a new roommate

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