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Prediction markets for online

Will LGBTQ+ content online be legally censored in the US before 2026?

Jan 30, 3:42 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

33.76%chance

363904

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1401

714

Will Canada's "Online News Act" (bill C-18) be amended or repealed by 2027?

Aug 10, 3:59 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

78.94%chance

73804

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1009

985

Will relatively "offline" societies show signs of out-competing "online" societies by the end of 2027?

Dec 27, 6:26 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

50%chance

462069

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1085

885

Will GTA 6 Online allow players to travel between the states of Leonida and San Andreas?

Aug 4, 10:26 PMMay 27, 6:59 AM

62.71%chance

61780

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1297

771

Freestyle Chess will have a higher online audience than Classical Chess by 2030.

Feb 14, 10:16 AMDec 22, 5:59 AM

24.41%chance

161639

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1760

568

Will the price of Nintendo Switch Online increase in 2025?

Jan 1, 2:51 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

23.7%chance

101284

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1794

557

Before July 2026, will I personally see an online ad which is obviously a prompt injection attack for AI agents?

Jan 29, 7:31 AMJun 2, 6:59 AM

38.69%chance

11944

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1259

794

Will Russia or ROC be allowed in the Olympics again before Nintendo ends online play and services for the Switch?

Jan 25, 3:23 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

75%chance

15707

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1062

969

Will we see an increased premium put on siloed/private online socialization by the end of 2027?

Dec 27, 6:10 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

63.64%chance

26690

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1025

925

US Federal Gov't ports their physical mail addresses to something online by mid 2031

Mar 8, 4:48 PMJul 1, 6:59 AM

44.14%chance

2125

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1125

889

Will Kairos Power have reactors online by 2030?

Oct 16, 7:02 AMDec 31, 9:59 PM

48.2%chance

3100

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1037

965

Will NYC permanently close another subway station before Nintendo ends online support for the Switch?

Jan 25, 6:31 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

51%chance

1047

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1002

997

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