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Prediction markets for Open AGI Summit

Conditional on a global pause before strong AGI, how long in total will there be a pause on frontier training?

Aug 17, 10:54 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

645

OptionProbability

6 to 24 months

Less than 6 months

2 to 5 years

5+ years

36

30

19

16

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