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Prediction markets for Open Thoughts

Will tailcalled think that the Brain-Like AGI alignment research program has achieved something important by October 20th, 2026?

Oct 20, 1:36 PMOct 20, 9:59 PM

21.86%chance

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379

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Sep 25, 8:23 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

20.35%chance

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753

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525

189

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37

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54%chance

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135

49

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1089

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316

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124

81

In Esurient, will Lyvina at some point crack open the world?

Feb 22, 2:01 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

32.13%chance

431

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141

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