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OpenSource News
Prediction markets for OpenSource
Prediction markets for OpenSource
Will Elon Musk opensource Grok 3 within 6 months? (By Feb 23 2026)
Aug 23, 11:55 PM
Feb 23, 11:59 PM
6.8%
chance
25
6393
Option
Votes
YES
NO
3703
270
Will Anthropic release a (competetive) opensource LLM in the next 3 years?
Aug 5, 5:44 PM
Aug 5, 5:44 PM
29.88%
chance
15
1666
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1532
653
Will a LLM trained with FP4 have frontier-level performance before 2028?
Feb 19, 9:08 AM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
31.26%
chance
10
950
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1483
674
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