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Top stories

SpaceX Starship Flight 10 Launch Scrubbed During Live Stream on 66-Foot Screens at Tesla Diner Featuring Optimus Robot and Chris G.

SpaceX Starship Flight 10 Launch Scrubbed During Live Stream on 66-Foot Screens at Tesla Diner Featuring Optimus Robot and Chris G.

Authors

5

5 months ago

ARK Invest Sees Tesla Robotaxi Business as 90% of Value with Vision-Only AI; $10 Trillion Market and $34 Trillion Potential

ARK Invest Sees Tesla Robotaxi Business as 90% of Value with Vision-Only AI; $10 Trillion Market and $34 Trillion Potential

Authors

9

6 months ago

Musk Defends Camera-Only Autonomy After Uber CEO Questions Tesla Strategy

Musk Defends Camera-Only Autonomy After Uber CEO Questions Tesla Strategy

Authors

8

5 months ago

Prediction markets for Optimus

Will there be over 10,000 Optimus robots working at Tesla before 2027?

Oct 13, 9:55 PMDec 31, 1:29 PM

13.03%chance

9324308

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2586

387

Will an Optimus robot walk on Mars before a human?

May 11, 2:15 AMDec 31, 12:59 PM

71.25%chance

518376

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1679

338

Will there be a working Optimus robot on Mars by the end of 2027?

Mar 16, 5:19 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

6.95%chance

185622

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3660

273

Will there be a working Optimus robot on Mars by the end of 2026?

Mar 15, 5:53 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

4.43%chance

144953

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4647

215

Will it be possible to buy Tesla Optimus humanoid robot before 2030?

Oct 5, 8:50 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

36.94%chance

384557

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1463

467

Will Tesla Optimus Gen-2 be available for Sale General Availability (GA) by 2026?

Jan 16, 5:02 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

15.07%chance

172837

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2038

611

Will Tesla Optimus robot commit a crime before year 2028? 🦾

May 23, 2:42 PMDec 31, 3:59 PM

16.06%chance

212342

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1745

782

Will robots (think Tesla’s Optimus) replace retail workers by 2030?

Jan 19, 7:27 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

16.12%chance

22979

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1413

883

Will there be a million Optimus robots by 2035?

Aug 9, 2:54 AMFeb 1, 7:59 AM

61.41%chance

12620

OptionVotes

NO

YES

126

79

Will Optimus robot be able to change a tire on a Tesla car before 2028 ?

Mar 4, 10:03 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

39.39%chance

9522

OptionVotes

YES

NO

145

100

Will Tesla Optimus Gen-2 be available for Sale General Availability (GA) by 2027?

Jan 16, 5:03 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

35%chance

7302

OptionVotes

YES

NO

182

42

When will Tesla have Optimus walking around in retail stores?

Dec 27, 8:44 PMJan 4, 7:59 AM

8232

OptionProbability

Never

2027

2026

2028

2029

2030

2025

69

10

8

4

4

3

2

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