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Prediction markets for Optimus
Will there be over 1000 Optimus robots working at Tesla before 2026?
Jun 16, 9:26 AMDec 31, 1:29 PM
1.99%chance
16284603
OptionVotes
7015
143
Will there be over 10,000 Optimus robots working at Tesla before 2027?
Oct 13, 9:55 PMDec 31, 1:29 PM
18.01%chance
7714560
OptionVotes
2134
469
Will Tesla Optimus Gen-2 be available for *Sale* General Availability (GA) by 2025?
Jan 16, 5:01 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
1.23%chance
1210092
OptionVotes
10863
512
OptionVotes
1705
328
Will Optimus be used on the Optimus assembly line before the end of 2025?
Nov 23, 6:53 PMFeb 1, 7:59 AM
4.69%chance
226236
OptionVotes
4509
222
Will there be a working Optimus robot on Mars by the end of 2027?
Mar 16, 5:19 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM
7.71%chance
175422
OptionVotes
3460
289
Will there be a working Optimus robot on Mars by the end of 2026?
Mar 15, 5:53 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM
4.43%chance
144953
OptionVotes
4647
215
Will it be possible to buy Tesla Optimus humanoid robot before 2030?
Oct 5, 8:50 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM
37%chance
362967
OptionVotes
1462
468
Will Tesla Optimus robot commit a crime before year 2028? 🦾
May 23, 2:42 PMDec 31, 3:59 PM
16.06%chance
212342
OptionVotes
1745
782
Will Tesla Optimus Gen-2 be available for *Sale* General Availability (GA) by 2026?
Jan 16, 5:02 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
14.07%chance
141548
OptionVotes
2142
593
Will robots (think Tesla’s Optimus) replace retail workers by 2030?
Jan 19, 7:27 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
20.79%chance
20679
OptionVotes
1113
950
Will Optimus generate more revenue than cars for Tesla at any point before 2030?
Sep 25, 12:05 AMJan 2, 2:59 AM
18.76%chance
11294
OptionVotes
334
133