Orb News

Before 2026-11-01

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February 2024

March 2024 or earlier

April 2024 or earlier

May 2024 or earlier

June 2024 or earlier

July 2024 or earlier

August 2024 or earlier

September 2024 or earlier

October 2024 or earlier

November 2024 or earlier

December 2024 or earlier

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Before 2025-11-01

Two or more propositions in this market excluding this one will resolve as true/yes

Many of them are hobbyist drones looking for/chasing the "original" drones

The drones will have mostly vanished by inauguration

They record images/video using digital cameras

More drones are flying at night after a Sept 2023 change in FAA regulations, leading to an increase in sightings

Belong to a hobbyist

Local officials lack equipment sensitive enough to gauge size and relative threat

It's just hysteria/mistaken sightings

Four or more propositions in this market excluding this one will resolve as true/yes

Their true nature will remain a mystery

Uses cellular networks to send and receive data

Linked to illegal drug activity

Some drones use advanced technology not available to the public

Belong to an activist

Redditor on r/UFOs (post with >= 10k upvotes) claims abduction by drones

An adversary is trying to force the US's hand into revealing their anti-drone tech

Major Mexican TV network runs story implying drones are alien tech

they're designed to look like a commercial jet

Does not use cellular networks to send and receive data

Belong to a start-up

Belong to a large company

Someone will attempt to shoot down a drone and end up injuring themselves or others

Operated by (foreign) intelligence agency / military of a US adversary

Linked to China (government/military)

Belong to the US military/gov

At least 1 drone is shot down and recovered

Are investigating Plasmoids

They’re looking for ionizing radiation

Hoax put on specifically by Anthpo

Operated by (foreign) intelligence agency / military of a country allied to the US

Linked to Russia (government/military)

Are investigating Gamma Radiation

It's a publicity stunt for a company

Belong to a foreign government/agency

Linked to Blockchain technology

AI superintelligence

Terrorism

It's a new delivery service

Linked to North Korea

100% of all footage of the drones was AI generated

Secret private industry ARVs investigating the orbs individuals are summoning through meditation.

YES

NO

NO

YES

YES

YES

YES

Before 2030

NO

YES