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Prediction markets for Ordinals

Will the Roman Catholic Church permit the ordination of female priests by 2050?

Apr 27, 8:40 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

21.33%chance

497835

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1829

1678

Meta cheated at LM Arena to pump Llama-4's score?

Apr 8, 2:23 PMApr 8, 2:15 PM

19.76%chance

246475

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2015

496

A US state will ban or severely restrict pit bulls as a breed in 2026

Jan 7, 11:51 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

9.8%chance

72587

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3035

330

Scottish Parliament: Will there be an Extraordinary General Election called before the next ordinary general election?

Apr 27, 10:13 PMMay 6, 10:59 PM

3.07%chance

71046

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1093

40

First US state to declare independence?

Jun 8, 5:05 PMDec 31, 6:05 PM

6990

OptionProbability

California

Texas

Other

Washington

Wyoming

Florida

Louisiana

Hawaii

Alaska

Rhode Island

32

15

13

8

6

6

6

6

6

2

Will ordinary cinemas in English-speaking countries start showing subtitles for English-language films before 2030?

Mar 9, 11:46 AMJan 1, 12:59 PM

87.2%chance

8653

OptionVotes

NO

YES

473

174

Will the roman catholic church permit the ordination of trans male priests by 2030?

Jun 19, 6:27 PMDec 31, 5:59 AM

11.33%chance

12388

OptionVotes

NO

YES

986

896

Will North Korean ordinance land on Japanese territory before 2028.

Dec 30, 3:57 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

22.34%chance

6120

OptionVotes

YES

NO

186

54

Will the roman catholic church permit the ordination of trans male priests by 2040?

Jun 19, 6:28 PMDec 31, 5:59 AM

16.71%chance

5108

OptionVotes

YES

NO

210

71

Ordinary Sausage hospitalized for food poisoning by 2030?

Oct 16, 1:13 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

35%chance

7107

OptionVotes

YES

NO

136

73

Can we find evidence for states with indefinite mass(beyond ordinary unstable resonances),

Dec 31, 3:32 PMJan 1, 3:31 PM

50%chance

122

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

Will Guido Putignano win the Ordine al Merito della Repubblica Italiana (OMRI) by EOY2060?

Sep 21, 6:43 PMSep 29, 3:59 AM

50%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

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