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Prediction markets for Ordinals

Will the Roman Catholic Church permit the ordination of female priests by 2050?

Apr 27, 8:40 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

21.33%chance

497835

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1829

1678

Meta cheated at LM Arena to pump Llama-4's score?

Apr 8, 2:23 PMApr 8, 2:15 PM

10.71%chance

226225

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2888

346

Will Manifold Markets be blocked in Brazil before 2026?

Sep 20, 4:59 AMJan 1, 3:59 AM

10%chance

92575

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2598

88

Will the Mormon church give the priesthood to women before 2026?

Oct 27, 5:50 PMJan 1, 6:59 AM

1%chance

81977

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1592

28

Will ordinary cinemas in English-speaking countries start showing subtitles for English-language films before 2030?

Mar 9, 11:46 AMJan 1, 12:59 PM

87.2%chance

8653

OptionVotes

NO

YES

473

174

Scottish Parliament: Will there be an Extraordinary General Election called before the next ordinary general election?

Apr 27, 10:13 PMMay 6, 10:59 PM

11.34%chance

6436

OptionVotes

YES

NO

499

74

Will the roman catholic church permit the ordination of trans male priests by 2030?

Jun 19, 6:27 PMDec 31, 5:59 AM

11.33%chance

12388

OptionVotes

NO

YES

986

896

Who will be the 19th president of The Church of Jesus Christ of Latter-day Saints?

Oct 1, 7:01 PMSep 28, 9:35 PM

2170

OptionProbability

Jeffrey R. Holland

Henry B. Eyring

Dieter F. Uchtdorf

David A. Bednar

Other

43

15

14

14

14

Will the LDS Church (Mormons) allow woman to perform baptism before 2075?

Jan 26, 12:16 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

48.67%chance

9166

OptionVotes

NO

YES

133

125

Will the roman catholic church permit the ordination of trans male priests by 2040?

Jun 19, 6:28 PMDec 31, 5:59 AM

16.71%chance

5108

OptionVotes

YES

NO

210

71

Ordinary Sausage hospitalized for food poisoning by 2030?

Oct 16, 1:13 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

24.83%chance

791

OptionVotes

YES

NO

174

57

Will Guido Putignano win the Ordine al Merito della Repubblica Italiana (OMRI) by EOY2060?

Sep 21, 6:43 PMSep 29, 3:59 AM

50%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

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