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Prediction markets for Original Song

Will AI-generated content be nominated for a major award (like the Oscars or Grammys) by the end of 2025

Jul 8, 5:44 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

4.48%chance

294758

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4829

423

Will AI achieve superintelligence in music composition by 2026?

Dec 1, 12:38 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

12.11%chance

363468

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1480

891

How many stories in the "Dunk and Egg" series will be published in George R. R. Martin's lifetime?

Sep 15, 7:14 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

31418

OptionProbability

4 or more

5 or more

6 or more

8 or more

10 or more

12 or more

46

43

37

33

14

11

Will a fully AI generated osu! beatmap make it to the ranked section by the end of 2025?

Sep 20, 6:06 AMDec 31, 1:59 PM

29.73%chance

8671

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1538

650

In the "Project Hail Mary" movie, will a Beatles song be played during the scene where the beetles are launched?

May 20, 9:08 PMMar 20, 11:59 PM

81.38%chance

12330

OptionVotes

NO

YES

274

45

Will Dead & Company's "The Final Tour" actually be their final tour?

May 14, 9:49 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

50.19%chance

8315

OptionVotes

YES

NO

163

134

Will AI-generated content be nominated for a major award (like the Oscars or Grammys) by the end of 2026

Jul 8, 7:04 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

11.42%chance

8232

OptionVotes

YES

NO

279

36

🎤What will happen at the first concert on the moon or in outer space? [ADD RESPONSES]

Feb 12, 2:03 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

4217

OptionProbability

a performer is Alive today (Feb 2024) (not a backup dancer or singer, named performer)

a string instrument is played in person

band is a solo act

Audience is 10 or more people

a brass instrument is played in person

A non original cover song is played by another artist than the headline band

a rap song is performed

Bad Bunny In attendance (IN PERSON)

elon musk in attendance (IN PERSON)

backup dancers of some kind (virtual or in person)

sponsored by spacex

sponsored by spotify

sponsored by apple music

david bowie music or cover will be played

will happen 2030 or earlier

Audience is 100 or more people

band is Three or more members

a performer is Born 2030 or later

stars Taylor Swift

will happen 2027 or earlier

74

70

59

59

50

50

50

50

50

50

50

46

46

44

42

41

38

34

32

15

Will the next Wintergatan Marble Machine be used on a tour before 2030?

Apr 4, 7:59 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

48%chance

485

OptionVotes

YES

NO

175

143

If there is a Skibidi toilet movie or TV show, will they get the rights to the original Skibidi song?

Dec 17, 10:33 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

71.66%chance

459

OptionVotes

NO

YES

159

63

Which pieces of lost media will be found by 2030? [ADD RESPONSES]

May 4, 2:05 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

114

OptionProbability

Any missing Dr Who episode

lol superman (alleged graphic 9/11 footage)

London After Midnight (1927 silent movie)

The Mountain Eagle (Alfred Hitchcock movie)

50

50

38

38

If there is a Skibidi toilet show/movie, will they have a lowfi or piano only cover of the original Skibidi song?

Dec 17, 10:40 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

47.56%chance

15

OptionVotes

YES

NO

105

95

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