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Top stories

Putin Honors Soviet WWII Pilots in Alaska After Trump Summit

US Foreign Policy

Putin Honors Soviet WWII Pilots in Alaska After Trump Summit

Authors

25

10 months ago

ADL CEO Greenblatt Criticizes NYC Candidate Mamdani Over Outreach, Citing 'Globalize the Intifada'; CNBC Corrects False Claims; CAIR Seeks NGO Funding Clarity

ADL CEO Greenblatt Criticizes NYC Candidate Mamdani Over Outreach, Citing 'Globalize the Intifada'; CNBC Corrects False Claims; CAIR Seeks NGO Funding Clarity

Authors

6

10 months ago

Prediction markets for Orthodox

Will the majority of Western democracies cease to be de facto democratic by 2034?

Jun 11, 5:42 AMMar 1, 12:59 PM

5.2%chance

928379

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2389

1500

Will Ultra-Orthodox Jews be mandatorily conscripted by the IDF by the end of 2028?

Feb 29, 1:14 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

59.02%chance

232852

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1145

872

Jordan Peterson becomes an Eastern Orthodox Christian before 2030

Aug 15, 2:26 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

14.48%chance

122330

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2430

411

Will full communion be established between the Catholic and Eastern Orthodox Churches by the the end of 2028?

Jul 1, 2:04 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

2.22%chance

211596

OptionVotes

YES

NO

664

15

Where in the multiverse is "no accident must ever help the detective"?

Apr 12, 11:52 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

111586

OptionProbability

[!] Syzygy's DE-esque take on (X)

Lintagolarion (eg planecrash/we know we once were gods)

Other

Some other decidedly non-Pathfinder setting

Fairly orthodox Paizogolarion (for some era)

Some iteration of "Pathfinder: the Video Game"

Nandwich-style Golarion (eg esurient shadow)

44

30

11

6

3

3

3

Will the Catholic and Eastern Orthodox Churches reconcile before 2050?

Feb 24, 9:01 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

17.36%chance

20619

OptionVotes

YES

NO

294

150

Will the next leader of Russia after Putin be Russian Orthodox?

Oct 25, 7:45 PMNov 2, 6:59 AM

68.68%chance

9226

OptionVotes

NO

YES

178

131

OU requires hechsher for plain coffee from regular shops by Dec 31, 2026?

Dec 3, 10:23 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

49.88%chance

2100

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1002

998

Will the Ukrainian Orthodox Church and the Orthodox Church of Ukraine exist separately until 2030?

Aug 2, 11:39 AMJan 1, 7:59 PM

80.28%chance

499

OptionVotes

NO

YES

138

38

Will the Russian Orthodox Church restore full communion with the Patriarchate of Constantinople until 2050?

Jul 21, 4:20 PMJan 1, 7:59 PM

66%chance

235

OptionVotes

NO

YES

90

56

Will the Russian Orthodox Church stop its membership in the World Council of Churches until 2030?

Aug 30, 2:53 PMDec 31, 7:59 PM

15

OptionProbability

Yes, ROC will revoke its WCC membership

Yes, ROC will be expelled from WCC

No, ROC will still be a member church

Other

33

22

22

22

Potential questions for long bet on Robin Hanson Orthodox Jews thesis (500 mana / 100 per great question or comment)

Oct 16, 1:57 AM

00

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