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Prediction markets for Oscar for Best Actor

Will these actors ever win an Oscar??

Feb 17, 9:23 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

353558

OptionProbability

Robert Downey Jr.

Timothée Chalamet

Bradley Cooper

Edward Norton

Ryan Gosling

Matt Damon

Willem Dafoe

Michelle Williams

Scarlett Johansson

Samuel L. Jackson

Mark Ruffalo

Tom Cruise

Amy Adams

Chris Evans

Zendaya

Steve Carell

Helena Bonham Carter

Keira Knightley

Johnny Depp

Liam Neeson

Bill Murray

100

93

84

73

73

72

72

67

65

62

59

55

52

50

50

46

40

37

35

35

20

Will a High Frame Rate film win an Academy Award before 2030?

Jul 15, 9:23 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

39.36%chance

321716

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1191

841

Best Actress Oscar is removed, renamed, or combined with Best Actor by mid 2034

Jun 30, 8:12 PMJun 30, 11:59 PM

14.85%chance

81474

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2394

418

Oscars 2027: Will an actor or actress receive 2+ nominations in the same category?

May 18, 5:28 PMFeb 28, 11:59 PM

17.65%chance

61176

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2160

463

Will there be a new youngest winner for the Academy Awards Oscar for Best Actor by April 1st 2029? (29 years old)

Dec 13, 5:48 AMApr 2, 3:59 AM

33.6%chance

251137

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1538

507

Will Ryan Gosling be nominated for Best Actor at Oscars 2027?

Apr 5, 7:20 PMJan 20, 11:59 PM

68.3%chance

34793

OptionVotes

NO

YES

147

68

Will Timothee Chalamet win an Oscar before 2030?

Mar 16, 10:04 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

49%chance

11312

OptionVotes

YES

NO

102

98

Will Matt Damon be nominated for best actor at the Oscars for Odysseus?

Jul 19, 2:08 AMJan 31, 11:59 PM

86.95%chance

12292

OptionVotes

NO

YES

258

39

Will Tom Cruise win another Best Actor or Best Supporting Actor Oscar by 2030?

Feb 24, 5:21 AMMar 2, 7:59 AM

20.21%chance

9222

OptionVotes

YES

NO

189

47

Will Ralph Fiennes win the Academy Award Oscar for for Best Actor by the end of 2029?

May 3, 4:07 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

10.91%chance

4189

OptionVotes

YES

NO

286

35

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