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Prediction markets for Oscar for Best Picture

[WAY TOO EARLY] Best Picture winner? (2027 Oscars)

Mar 11, 3:19 AMMar 14, 11:59 PM

4228531

OptionProbability

Other

The Odyssey

Wild Horse Nine

Dune: Part Three

Project Hail Mary

Social Reckoning

Digger

Jack of Spades

Disclosure Day

Fjord

Her Private Hell

Michael

Josephine

Werwulf

Narnia: The Magician's Nephew

Saturn Return

Toy Story 5

Avengers: Doomsday

The Devil Wears Prada 2

The Christophers

The Super Mario Galaxy Movie

36

23

9

7

7

4

3

3

2

2

1

1

1

1

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

Will the Oscars Best Picture winner for 2027 pass the Bechdel Test? (awarded in 2028)

Dec 29, 6:46 PMApr 1, 3:59 AM

54.73%chance

301932

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2090

1821

'One Battle After Another' wins Best Picture Oscar?

Jan 6, 12:52 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

99%chance

131779

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1303

53

Will an AI-generated script win an Oscar for Best Original Screenplay by 2030?

Mar 8, 5:34 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

5.13%chance

171013

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1814

885

Will a Bollywood or other Indian cinema movie win Best Picture at the Oscars / Academy Awards before the end of 2050?

Mar 25, 9:18 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

51.35%chance

22616

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1164

808

Will Ryan Gosling be nominated for Best Actor at Oscars 2027?

Apr 5, 7:20 PMJan 20, 11:59 PM

69%chance

26494

OptionVotes

NO

YES

149

67

Which party will win the 2028 presidential election? / Will prediction markets be legal in 2030?

Mar 18, 9:41 PMNov 7, 11:59 PM

5369

OptionProbability

Democrats/Yes

Republicans/Yes

Democrats/No

Republicans/No

48

21

19

12

Will Alexander Skarsgård win an Oscar for his acting before 2031?

May 29, 9:32 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

12.94%chance

8151

OptionVotes

YES

NO

254

91

Will the Oscars Best Picture winner for 2026 pass the Bechdel Test? (awarded in 2027)

Mar 11, 5:29 AMApr 1, 3:59 AM

61%chance

589

OptionVotes

NO

YES

187

138

When will Paul Thomas Anderson’s next feature film be released?

Apr 11, 1:18 AMJan 1, 2:16 AM

365

OptionProbability

2028

2029

2030 or later

Never / no future films

Before 2028

25

25

25

17

8

Will Focus Features win Best Picture before April 1st 2031? Currently they have the most Oscar nominations without a win

Dec 14, 4:07 AMApr 2, 3:59 AM

80.11%chance

463

OptionVotes

NO

YES

133

41

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