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Prediction markets for Oscar for Directing

Best Director winner? (2026 Oscars)

Jan 22, 2:12 PMMar 14, 11:59 PM

123090

OptionProbability

Paul Thomas Anderson - One Battle After Another

Ryan Coogler - Sinners

Josh Safdie - Marty Supreme

Joachim Trier - Sentimental Value

Chloé Zhao - Hamnet

84

12

1

1

1

Who will win the Oscar for Best Director?🏆|🎬 2026 Oscars

Jun 2, 4:21 AMMar 16, 10:59 PM

241569

OptionProbability

Paul Thomas Anderson

Ryan Coogler

Joachim Trier

Jafar Panahi

Chloé Zhao

Other

James Cameron

Guillermo del Toro

Kathryn Bigelow

84

8

3

3

1

1

0

0

0

Will an AI-generated script win an Oscar for Best Original Screenplay by 2030?

Mar 8, 5:34 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

5.13%chance

171013

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1814

885

Will Leonardo DiCaprio win his 2nd Best Actor Oscar at the 98th Oscars?

Jan 8, 9:59 AMMar 16, 11:59 PM

12%chance

12315

OptionVotes

YES

NO

271

37

By 2028 will someone who first started directing after completing a Masterclass/Online Course win an Oscar for direction

Mar 31, 12:22 AMJan 2, 12:59 PM

17.96%chance

19302

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1256

902

Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

Jan 28, 1:58 AMMar 15, 11:59 PM

62.55%chance

389

OptionVotes

NO

YES

129

77

Will the eventual Best Picture winner also win Best Director at the 2026 Oscars?

Jan 24, 2:40 AMMar 15, 11:59 PM

65%chance

236

OptionVotes

NO

YES

136

73

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