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Prediction markets for Oscar for Directing

Will an AI-generated script win an Oscar for Best Original Screenplay by 2030?

Mar 8, 5:34 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

5.13%chance

171013

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1814

885

By 2028 will someone who first started directing after completing a Masterclass/Online Course win an Oscar for direction

Mar 31, 12:22 AMJan 2, 12:59 PM

14.2%chance

20602

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1556

845

When will Paul Thomas Anderson’s next feature film be released?

Apr 11, 1:18 AMJan 1, 2:16 AM

4130

OptionProbability

2030 or later

2029

2028

Before 2028

Never / no future films

39

28

20

7

6

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