OptionProbability
50% - 60%
40% - 50%
80% - 90%
60% - 70%
70% - 80%
90% - 100%
24.5% - 40%
36
26
15
10
8
5
1
It will allow AI models to hallucinate much less
It will allow AI models to become much better at working with long-context
It will allow AI models to use long context more efficiently
It will make AI models better at making art (creative writing, visual art)
It will make make AI models better at visual reasoning
It will make AI models much better at answering competitive math questions
It will allow AI models to learn at test time
it will make AI models better at agentic tasks (such as OSWorld and SWE-bench)
50
49