Oute News

Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2030?

May 5, 11:03 AMJan 2, 1:16 AM

5.46%chance

11007268980

OptionVotes

YES

6481

2125

Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2100

Feb 4, 10:54 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

13.65%chance

8104171068

OptionVotes

YES

3556

1814

Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2040?

Mar 11, 5:11 PMJan 2, 10:00 AM

7.87%chance

4731716462

OptionVotes

YES

4992

1792

Will AI wipe out humanity by 2030? [resolves N/A in 2027]

Jul 28, 5:46 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

11.57%chance

324859502

OptionVotes

YES

7349

3560

Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2060?

Feb 26, 6:16 AMDec 31, 12:59 PM

11.56%chance

207282700

OptionVotes

YES

4324

1312

Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2029?

May 22, 9:40 PMJan 1, 6:59 AM

1.42%chance

7840845

OptionVotes

YES

10787

981

Will it become illegal to move >$50K/year out of the United States?

Apr 28, 7:34 PMJan 1, 8:33 PM

4.61%chance

2539518

OptionVotes

YES

45511

2199

Starmer out before July?

Feb 14, 7:00 AMJun 30, 11:59 PM

40.33%chance

6324731

OptionVotes

YES

12164

8221

Kim Jing Un is big boss and Kamala wins, or he's out and Trump wins, judgment by mid 2029

Oct 5, 6:22 AMJul 1, 6:59 AM

22.74%chance

109098

OptionVotes

YES

18437

5421

Will AI wipe out all biological life on Earth before 2100?

Apr 7, 2:22 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

6%chance

315805

OptionVotes

YES

3000

734

If AI wipes out humanity, what will it make of the universe?

Jul 2, 11:23 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

71040

OptionProbability

Other "loud" outcome

non-hedonic utilitronium

Orgasmium

Matrioshka brains to simulate zillions of ems

initiate vacuum collapse

It will be "quiet" and not significantly alter the rest of the universe.

Paperclips or widgets

Matrioshka brains to simulate torture of everyone who didn't help create it

Literal rats on literal heroin

Wait till carbon white dwarfs cool enough to turn to diamond and then cut them into cool shapes

Conditional on first contact with aliens, will aliens wipe out humanity by 2100?

Jul 27, 5:17 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

31.76%chance

11242

OptionVotes

YES

1135

926

Oute News

Prediction markets for Oute

Prediction markets for Oute

Prediction markets for Oute

Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2030?

Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2100

Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2040?

Will AI wipe out humanity by 2030? [resolves N/A in 2027]

Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2060?

Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2029?

Will it become illegal to move >$50K/year out of the United States?

Starmer out before July?

Kim Jing Un is big boss and Kamala wins, or he's out and Trump wins, judgment by mid 2029

Will AI wipe out all biological life on Earth before 2100?

If AI wipes out humanity, what will it make of the universe?

Conditional on first contact with aliens, will aliens wipe out humanity by 2100?

Latest stories