Oute News

Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2030?

May 5, 11:03 AMJan 2, 1:16 AM

7%chance

11317432934

OptionVotes

YES

5174

2211

Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2100

Feb 4, 10:54 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

13.84%chance

8174171933

OptionVotes

YES

3512

1821

Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2040?

Mar 11, 5:11 PMJan 2, 10:00 AM

7.89%chance

4811718067

OptionVotes

YES

4979

1793

Will AI wipe out humanity by 2030? [resolves N/A in 2027]

Jul 28, 5:46 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

28.28%chance

344879198

OptionVotes

YES

4502

3083

Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2060?

Feb 26, 6:16 AMDec 31, 12:59 PM

11.35%chance

210282771

OptionVotes

YES

4387

1304

"AI 2027" report's predictions borne out by 2027?

Apr 3, 4:48 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

40.81%chance

267135862

OptionVotes

YES

1206

831

Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2029?

May 22, 9:40 PMJan 1, 6:59 AM

1%chance

7950889

OptionVotes

YES

14685

934

Will a nuclear war wipe out humanity by 2030?

Jul 5, 12:06 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

2.69%chance

7327126

OptionVotes

YES

2375

1572

Kim Jing Un is big boss and Kamala wins, or he's out and Trump wins, judgment by mid 2029

Oct 5, 6:22 AMJul 1, 6:59 AM

22.08%chance

129959

OptionVotes

YES

18787

5319

Will AI wipe out all biological life on Earth before 2100?

Apr 7, 2:22 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

7.8%chance

345924

OptionVotes

YES

2398

778

If AI wipes out humanity, what will it make of the universe?

Jul 2, 11:23 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

71040

OptionProbability

Other "loud" outcome

non-hedonic utilitronium

Orgasmium

Matrioshka brains to simulate zillions of ems

initiate vacuum collapse

It will be "quiet" and not significantly alter the rest of the universe.

Paperclips or widgets

Matrioshka brains to simulate torture of everyone who didn't help create it

Literal rats on literal heroin

Wait till carbon white dwarfs cool enough to turn to diamond and then cut them into cool shapes

Conditional on first contact with aliens, will aliens wipe out humanity by 2100?

Jul 27, 5:17 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

31.76%chance

11242

OptionVotes

YES

1135

926

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Prediction markets for Oute

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Prediction markets for Oute

Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2030?

Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2100

Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2040?

Will AI wipe out humanity by 2030? [resolves N/A in 2027]

Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2060?

"AI 2027" report's predictions borne out by 2027?

Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2029?

Will a nuclear war wipe out humanity by 2030?

Kim Jing Un is big boss and Kamala wins, or he's out and Trump wins, judgment by mid 2029

Will AI wipe out all biological life on Earth before 2100?

If AI wipes out humanity, what will it make of the universe?

Conditional on first contact with aliens, will aliens wipe out humanity by 2100?

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