Oute News

Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2030?

May 5, 11:03 AMJan 2, 1:16 AM

3.14%chance

10767083208

OptionVotes

YES

10588

1949

Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2100

Feb 4, 10:54 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

13.19%chance

8024167899

OptionVotes

YES

3663

1798

Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2040?

Mar 11, 5:11 PMJan 2, 10:00 AM

6.06%chance

4631710990

OptionVotes

YES

6263

1698

Will AI wipe out humanity by 2030? [resolves N/A in 2027]

Jul 28, 5:46 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

10.34%chance

316855029

OptionVotes

YES

8120

3465

Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2060?

Feb 26, 6:16 AMDec 31, 12:59 PM

12.09%chance

201282138

OptionVotes

YES

4175

1332

"AI 2027" report's predictions borne out by 2027?

Apr 3, 4:48 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

18.95%chance

224108190

OptionVotes

YES

2068

484

Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2029?

May 22, 9:40 PMJan 1, 6:59 AM

1%chance

7739798

OptionVotes

YES

14685

934

Will a judge throw out X vs. GARM?

Aug 8, 5:50 AMDec 31, 4:59 PM

50.46%chance

7635026

OptionVotes

YES

10102

9898

Will it become illegal to move >$50K/year out of the United States?

Apr 28, 7:34 PMJan 1, 8:33 PM

7.97%chance

2026245

OptionVotes

YES

33975

2943

Will AI wipe out all biological life on Earth before 2100?

Apr 7, 2:22 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

13.36%chance

293378

OptionVotes

YES

1485

878

Kim Jing Un is big boss and Kamala wins, or he's out and Trump wins, judgment by mid 2029

Oct 5, 6:22 AMJul 1, 6:59 AM

42%chance

62029

OptionVotes

YES

11755

8505

If AI wipes out humanity, what will it make of the universe?

Jul 2, 11:23 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

71040

OptionProbability

Other "loud" outcome

non-hedonic utilitronium

Orgasmium

Matrioshka brains to simulate zillions of ems

initiate vacuum collapse

It will be "quiet" and not significantly alter the rest of the universe.

Paperclips or widgets

Matrioshka brains to simulate torture of everyone who didn't help create it

Literal rats on literal heroin

Wait till carbon white dwarfs cool enough to turn to diamond and then cut them into cool shapes

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Prediction markets for Oute

Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2030?

Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2100

Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2040?

Will AI wipe out humanity by 2030? [resolves N/A in 2027]

Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2060?

"AI 2027" report's predictions borne out by 2027?

Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2029?

Will a judge throw out X vs. GARM?

Will it become illegal to move >$50K/year out of the United States?

Will AI wipe out all biological life on Earth before 2100?

Kim Jing Un is big boss and Kamala wins, or he's out and Trump wins, judgment by mid 2029

If AI wipes out humanity, what will it make of the universe?

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