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Prediction markets for Outlook Report

Will Vietnam's GDP surpass $500 billion by 2026 according to IMF?

Jun 23, 9:33 PMDec 30, 11:59 PM

59.72%chance

2618206

OptionVotes

NO

YES

447

96

Global GDP growth rate below 2.5% in 2025

Jan 3, 9:59 PMJan 31, 12:00 AM

30.87%chance

12963

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1496

668

Which country will have the largest decline in GDP from 2024 to 2025?

May 14, 7:37 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

9777

OptionProbability

Other

Italy

Germany

Mexico

New Zealand

Canada

Bulgaria

China

Russia

Argentina

United States

Japan

United Kingdom

France

India

Brazil

South Africa

Saudi Arabia

Turkey

South Korea

Australia

Spain

Indonesia

54

6

4

4

4

3

3

2

2

2

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

Will the levelized cost of electricity from utility-scale solar PV be less than $20/MWh by 2030?

Dec 18, 1:45 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

71.22%chance

12456

OptionVotes

YES

NO

163

157

Will the NBER Announce the US is in recession during 2025 by Q2 2026?

May 29, 8:55 PMJun 30, 11:59 PM

26.33%chance

8297

OptionVotes

YES

NO

244

96

Will the NBER Announce the US is in recession during 2025 by the end of 2025?

May 29, 8:59 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

16.45%chance

4240

OptionVotes

YES

NO

374

132

Will the levelized cost of electricity from advanced nuclear be less than $60/MWh by 2030 (in the US)?

Dec 18, 3:03 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

50%chance

8134

OptionVotes

NO

YES

195

178

Canadian unemployment exceeds 7.5% in 2025?

Aug 1, 9:20 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

26.67%chance

796

OptionVotes

YES

NO

166

60

Will Canadian GDP in 2030 be lower than the combined GDP of Australia and New Zealand?

Mar 14, 3:21 PMJan 1, 4:59 PM

41.71%chance

463

OptionVotes

YES

NO

118

85

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