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Prediction markets for Outperform
OptionVotes
35172
1547
AI outperforms humans in all mathematical research areas by 2028?
Jul 17, 3:17 PMJul 18, 3:59 AM
12.07%chance
14668226
OptionVotes
2833
1331
OptionVotes
56892
1762
Will Ethereum outperform Bitcoin over three years from 2023?
Oct 15, 12:45 PMJan 2, 5:59 AM
1.42%chance
429003
OptionVotes
7703
99
Will an AI model outperform 95% of Manifold users on accuracy before 2026?
Nov 16, 6:59 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
14.91%chance
776855
OptionVotes
2516
492
Before 2026, Will DL systems outperform humans at describing a picture in words to make human mental images match it?
Jun 19, 12:33 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM
17.45%chance
145328
OptionVotes
2175
460
Before 2028, will AI systems outperform mathematicians at suggesting reasonable explanations for new OEIS sequences?
Jul 20, 9:36 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM
39.81%chance
114493
OptionVotes
10081
9577
OptionVotes
1155
866
EU defense stocks vs South Korea defense stocks: EUAD ETF outperforms KDEF ETF in total return by end of 2029
Mar 10, 2:16 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
46.66%chance
6751
OptionVotes
1069
935
Will my portfolio outperform the S&P 500 from now till December 31st, 2026?
Dec 6, 3:40 AMDec 31, 3:35 AM
47.61%chance
5259
OptionVotes
1049
953
If intelligent aliens visit us, will AI-based technologies outperform analog linguistics in translating their language?
Mar 30, 12:12 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM
69.65%chance
13186
OptionVotes
1037
977
OptionVotes
1050
952