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Overall News

Will the overall claim that low flow showers cause more net water use hold up thru mid 2026?

Mar 9, 12:45 AMJul 1, 6:59 AM

53%chance

32825

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1031

960

Will the player selected #1 overall in the 2023 NFL draft sign a contract extension with the team who draft him?

Mar 11, 11:08 PMAug 11, 10:59 PM

42.3%chance

12623

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1097

876

Which of the following semiconductor/GPU companies will have the highest overall change in stock price in CY2025?

Jan 8, 6:06 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

2550

OptionProbability

Broadcom Inc (AVGO)

Advanced Micro Devices (AMD)

Intel (INTC)

Qualcomm (QCOM)

44

32

15

10

Which of the following defense companies will have the highest overall change in stock price in CY2025?

Jan 8, 6:12 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

4540

OptionProbability

RTX, formerly Raytheon (RTX)

Northrop Grumman Corp (NOC)

Boeing Co (BA)

General Dynamics Corp (GD)

Lockheed Martin Corp (LMT)

29

28

19

14

10

Will Canadas overall fertility rate increase in the next decade?

Oct 19, 6:43 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

38.12%chance

14448

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1081

942

If I investigate the Oliver Smith saga, will I think that Oliver was overall the more wronged party?

Feb 28, 7:43 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

14.92%chance

6266

OptionVotes

YES

NO

239

42

By 2030, will the academic community lean in favour of insecticide-treated bed nets having net-positive overall impact?

Jan 21, 6:47 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

88.52%chance

13262

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1169

953

Will Europa Universalis 5 have overall mixed reviews in Steam a month after release?

Apr 28, 8:03 AMDec 31, 7:56 AM

29.78%chance

10249

OptionVotes

YES

NO

296

173

Will the next pandemic be overall worse than covid-19 in absolute, global terms?

Aug 10, 12:42 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

28.2%chance

6161

OptionVotes

YES

NO

226

105

Will Americans' overall confidence in US institutions decline in 2026, according to Gallup?

Jul 23, 4:40 PMJul 20, 10:59 PM

75.49%chance

686

OptionVotes

NO

YES

176

57

Will the NYC subway still report an On-time Performance of >=85% at the end of 2025? (overall 12-month average)

Dec 2, 5:57 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

36%chance

674

OptionVotes

YES

NO

133

75

Will Canadas overall fertility rate increase in the next decade?

Oct 19, 5:23 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

40.48%chance

562

OptionVotes

YES

NO

116

104

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