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Prediction markets for Packs

Will “The Legend of Zelda: Tears of the Kingdom” get an expansion pack?

Dec 9, 9:01 PMDec 31, 11:00 AM

3.7%chance

288039

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1245

732

Will we have cheap long-distance jet packs by 2030?🔥

Jul 18, 8:54 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

20.13%chance

523832

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1203

937

Does a better packing of 17 squares into a square exist?

Feb 10, 1:53 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

39.95%chance

392631

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1048

913

Will our friend J. get a 6-pack by his wedding in 14 months?

Aug 7, 5:04 PMOct 31, 5:01 PM

71.43%chance

92016

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1581

632

What issues will I experience with my Tesla in the first 5 years of ownership

Jun 8, 8:29 PMJun 14, 8:22 PM

41503

OptionProbability

Misc. sensors

Tire replacement

On-board charger replacement

Suspension link or half-shaft

12V battery

Door handles

A/C compressor failure

Charge port door or latch repair

window regulator replacement

Media control unit or screen replacement

drive-unit / inverter replacement

High voltage traction battery pack

100

65

31

31

31

20

20

20

20

14

8

5

Court packing during Trump administration?

Sep 22, 3:48 PMJan 20, 11:59 PM

15.51%chance

111397

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2334

429

Is this packing of three squares in a circle optimal?

Sep 26, 6:13 PMDec 31, 7:12 PM

98.12%chance

10933

OptionVotes

NO

YES

722

14

Will an expansion pack be released for Civilization 7 before July 2026?

Jan 3, 5:19 AMJul 2, 6:59 AM

63.49%chance

4541

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1319

758

Is the best packing of 17 squares inside a square with the sides of precisely the feigenbaum constant?

Dec 21, 6:57 AMDec 1, 9:59 PM

7.92%chance

8241

OptionVotes

YES

NO

341

29

How many microcancers is one six pack of beer?

Aug 16, 5:06 AMJan 2, 5:59 AM

10.08%chance

5169

OptionVotes

YES

NO

234

73

Robotic mule - A pack robot which works on a beach available by mid 2033

Feb 20, 6:46 AMJul 1, 6:59 AM

79.12%chance

9161

OptionVotes

NO

YES

215

146

Which of the following is your favorite of an assorted candy variety pack?

May 28, 5:22 PM

30

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