OptionVotes
YES
NO
5684
176
OptionProbability
Any time after 2026, or never (just a week away...)
Oct/Nov/Dec 2026 (Q4)
Apr/May/Jun 2026 (Q2)
Jul/Aug/Sep 2026 (Q3)
Jan/Feb/Mar 2026 (Q1)
Jul/Aug/Sep 2024 (Q3)
Oct/Nov/Dec 2024 (Q4)
Jan/Feb/Mar 2025 (Q1)
Apr/May/Jun 2025 (Q2)
Oct/Nov/Dec 2025 (Q4)
Jul/Aug/Sep 2025 (Q3)
43
8
7
6
5
4
None of the above happens by 2500
A female pope is elected
Another pope uses the papal name Peter
The papacy is abolished (see description)
80
259
39
Other
Alexander
Leo
Francis
Benedict
John Paul
Paul
John
Pius
Gregory
Clement
Innocent
38
20
S acceptance by major financial institutions
Public opinion and trust in Bitcoin
Clear legal regulations from the government
Global economic conditions
Development of blockchain technology
33
21
15
