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Prediction markets for Part

Will Trump/USA buy or acquire part of Greenland?

Jan 7, 4:02 PMJan 21, 4:59 AM

18%chance

1211711971

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2136

469

US acquires part of Greenland in 2026?

Jan 7, 11:13 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

18.14%chance

13330851

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2126

471

Will there be fighting in Crimea as part of the current war between Russia and Ukraine?

Feb 14, 1:07 PMDec 30, 11:59 PM

10.39%chance

12622502

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2887

249

Will any part of America be under martial law during midterm elections?

Jan 20, 1:18 AMNov 4, 2:00 AM

14.94%chance

5710737

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2386

419

Chat-style AI models will be a big part of 10% or more of workers's workflows in developed nations by 2027

Feb 2, 3:09 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

71.07%chance

1298015

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1846

1470

Will artificial intelligence be part of a solution of the second Millennium Problem solved from now?

Sep 13, 12:23 AMSep 13, 6:59 AM

81.49%chance

374388

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1229

876

Will Israel recognize a state of Palestine before Russia recognizes Crimea as part of Ukraine?

May 12, 10:14 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

76.69%chance

221215

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1120

943

Will there be 5+ "thought leaders" that became so due in part to trading success on prediction markets by end of 2026?

Jan 4, 4:16 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

38.53%chance

24972

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1124

677

Before 2028, will popular mobile phones begin incorporating folding screens or other large moving parts?

Feb 9, 11:44 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

38.09%chance

11602

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1259

786

Will NASA use atomic clocks on the moon as part of their initial timekeeping method?

Apr 22, 1:51 AMJan 2, 5:59 AM

73.54%chance

18563

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1145

915

Before 2037, will a major presidential candidate make cutting off funding to Israel part of their platform?

Sep 28, 4:57 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

59.47%chance

10309

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1211

826

Will the "right to part-time work" be significantly restricted in Germany before February 2027?

Jan 30, 4:02 PMJan 31, 11:59 PM

38.01%chance

5277

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1277

783

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