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Prediction markets for Part

Will there be fighting in Crimea as part of the current war between Russia and Ukraine?

Feb 14, 1:07 PMDec 30, 11:59 PM

10.39%chance

12622502

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2887

249

Will artificial intelligence be part of a solution of the NEXT Millennium Problem?

Aug 16, 4:34 AMJan 1, 2:59 AM

66.38%chance

838788

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1235

835

Chat-style AI models will be a big part of 10% or more of workers's workflows in developed nations by 2027

Feb 2, 3:09 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

71.07%chance

1298015

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1846

1470

Will Israel annex a part of Gaza in the next 3 years (Nov 17 2027)?

Nov 17, 10:44 PMNov 18, 4:59 AM

30.08%chance

295582

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1524

656

Will artificial intelligence be part of a solution of the second Millennium Problem solved from now?

Sep 13, 12:23 AMSep 13, 6:59 AM

85%chance

374129

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1488

824

Will LLMs become a ubiquitous part of everyday life by June 2026?

Feb 13, 3:50 PMJun 30, 9:00 PM

89.95%chance

543637

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1822

840

Will Israel recognize a state of Palestine before Russia recognizes Crimea as part of Ukraine?

May 12, 10:14 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

75.56%chance

221165

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1070

959

Will there be 5+ "thought leaders" that became so due in part to trading success on prediction markets by end of 2026?

Jan 4, 4:16 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

38.53%chance

24972

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1124

677

Before 2028, will popular mobile phones begin incorporating folding screens or other large moving parts?

Feb 9, 11:44 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

38.09%chance

11602

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1259

786

Will NASA use atomic clocks on the moon as part of their initial timekeeping method?

Apr 22, 1:51 AMJan 2, 5:59 AM

73.54%chance

18563

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1145

915

Before 2037, will a major presidential candidate make cutting off funding to Israel part of their platform?

Sep 28, 4:57 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

59.47%chance

10309

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1211

826

In which Quarter will open the first new part of Venice MarcoPolo Airport with Gates A?

Jul 31, 4:37 PMMar 30, 10:59 PM

00

OptionProbability

3/2025

4/2025

1/2026

Other

25

25

25

25

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