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Prediction markets for Part

Will Trump/USA buy or acquire part of Greenland?

Jan 7, 4:02 PMJan 21, 4:59 AM

6%chance

1271807403

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3961

253

US acquires part of Greenland in 2026?

Jan 7, 11:13 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

2.82%chance

14438445

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5869

171

Will there be fighting in Crimea as part of the current war between Russia and Ukraine?

Feb 14, 1:07 PMDec 30, 11:59 PM

11.15%chance

12822570

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2791

261

Chat-style AI models will be a big part of 10% or more of workers's workflows in developed nations by 2027

Feb 2, 3:09 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

71.07%chance

1298015

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1846

1470

Will "Project Hail Mary" receive more Oscar nominations than "Dune: Part Three"?

Apr 8, 3:23 PMJan 8, 4:20 PM

22.09%chance

322895

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1878

532

Will an AI be able to generate industrial grade CAD parts by a prompt or an annotated draft before 2027 ?

Feb 27, 1:34 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

71.08%chance

371631

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1012

842

Will there be 5+ "thought leaders" that became so due in part to trading success on prediction markets by end of 2026?

Jan 4, 4:16 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

22.63%chance

291472

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1177

912

Will Israel recognize a state of Palestine before Russia recognizes Crimea as part of Ukraine?

May 12, 10:14 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

75.99%chance

231226

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1088

953

Will Apple buy any part of Disney by the end of 2028

Aug 16, 10:46 PMJan 1, 12:59 PM

24.32%chance

201107

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1334

837

Before 2028, will popular mobile phones begin incorporating folding screens or other large moving parts?

Feb 9, 11:44 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

47.04%chance

13759

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1046

943

Before 2037, will a major presidential candidate make cutting off funding to Israel part of their platform?

Sep 28, 4:57 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

63.23%chance

11409

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1311

763

Will VR/AR be a part of everyday life by 2030?

Jan 20, 10:36 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

49.03%chance

20370

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1035

956

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