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Prediction markets for Particle

Is the electron a point particle?

Mar 17, 7:29 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

87.83%chance

172791

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1221

918

Will the Future Circular Collider discover any new elementary particle?

Apr 7, 6:48 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

30.25%chance

312282

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1294

826

Will the source of the Dark Energy effect be found among currently known Standard Model particles?

Aug 7, 9:24 AMNov 3, 2:59 PM

52.31%chance

181476

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1144

830

Will the Oh-My-God particle's energy be surpassed before 2030?

Oct 28, 8:19 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

32.46%chance

11774

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1442

693

Will the LHC discover any more elementary particles?

Apr 7, 6:43 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

8.39%chance

12672

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1584

904

Is the beryllium/helium ATOMKI anomaly due to a new particle?

Jun 10, 7:10 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM

11.36%chance

19477

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1332

908

Will a new subatomic particle be experimentally confirmed to exist before 2040?

Mar 17, 2:19 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

29.91%chance

16432

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1109

927

Are neutrinos Majorana particles?

Apr 13, 12:04 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

51.22%chance

17422

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1166

778

Will there be a lunar particle accelerator by the beginning of 2050?

Nov 15, 7:04 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM

26.84%chance

17330

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1020

892

Will we discover a new, (believed to be) non-composite particle by 2050?

Dec 31, 7:26 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

44.71%chance

20304

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1022

977

Will the first detected BSM particle's mass be above 1 GeV?

Jun 5, 2:19 AMJan 2, 6:59 AM

66.35%chance

12181

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1095

941

Will an AI agent autonomously perform peer-review-quality LHC particle physics analysis by December 2029

Dec 23, 8:21 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

54.55%chance

3121

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1351

1158

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