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Past Lives News

Who will win the 2026 World Chess Championship?

May 8, 3:40 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

11941630

OptionProbability

Other

Gukesh D

Magnus Carlsen

Fabiano Caruana

Hikaru Nakamura

Ian Nepomniachtchi

Nodirbek Abdusattorov

Arjun Erigaisi

Ding Liren

Wesley So

Wei Yi

Viswanathan Anand

Sergey Karjakin

Leinier Dominguez Perez

Praggnanandhaa R

Anish Giri

Alireza Firouzja

Shakhriyar Mamedyarov

Jan-Krzysztof Duda

Parham Maghsoodloo

Maxime Vachier-Lagrave

Quang Liem Le

Levon Aronian

Veselin Topalov

Teimour Radjabov

Vidit Santosh Gujrathi

Vincent Keymer

Yu Yangyi

Alexander Grischuk

Richard Rapport

Vladislav Artemiev

Alexey Sarana

Daniil Dubov

Wang Hao

M. Amin Tabatabaei

N/A (e.g. tournament cancelled)

74

25

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

Who will win the 2026 World Chess Championship?

Apr 14, 6:19 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

7039486

OptionProbability

Javokhir Sindarov

Gukesh D

72

28

Will Levy Rozman get Grandmaster Title in his life?

Feb 17, 5:46 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

17.07%chance

335263

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1751

756

At what age will Richard Hanania die?

May 9, 8:19 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

56.83%chance

184881

OptionProbability

NO

YES

1025

972

2030 – 1. Nvidia’s market capitalization will be meaningfully lower + Intel’s will be meaningfully higher, than today

Mar 11, 12:04 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

12.77%chance

233562

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2275

637

If I offer someone on a plane $20 to take off their mask for the remainder of the flight, will they accept?

Mar 13, 5:32 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

20.03%chance

733334

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1583

952

2030 – 3. Over one hundred thousand humanoid robots will be deployed in the real world.

Mar 11, 12:08 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

79.08%chance

382747

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1720

680

Will all living current and past presidents attend Joe Biden's funeral?

Jan 9, 8:31 PMJun 21, 3:59 AM

67.87%chance

111334

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1453

688

Will I give birth before age 30?

Mar 9, 3:45 PMApr 16, 2:29 PM

62.48%chance

121171

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1291

775

Will Nestlé publicly apologize for its role in past human rights abuses by 2030?

Aug 7, 2:51 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

26.59%chance

12834

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1661

602

Will Florida PALM go live as scheduled on January 11, 2027?

May 30, 2:07 AMJan 11, 11:59 PM

52.22%chance

4412

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1045

957

Will Bryan Johnson live past hundred?

Mar 24, 7:31 PMAug 22, 11:59 PM

19.22%chance

4105

OptionVotes

YES

NO

205

49

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