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Prediction markets for Past Lives

Will Levy Rozman get Grandmaster Title in his life?

Feb 17, 5:46 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

16.97%chance

335255

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1759

754

At what age will Richard Hanania die?

May 9, 8:19 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

56.83%chance

184881

OptionProbability

NO

YES

1025

972

If I offer someone on a plane $20 to take off their mask for the remainder of the flight, will they accept?

Mar 13, 5:32 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

17.25%chance

713252

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1802

902

2030 – 1. Nvidia’s market capitalization will be meaningfully lower + Intel’s will be meaningfully higher, than today

Mar 11, 12:04 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

16.43%chance

233162

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1875

705

2030 – 3. Over one hundred thousand humanoid robots will be deployed in the real world.

Mar 11, 12:08 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

82.06%chance

372697

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1928

630

Will Rick Moranis appear in Spaceballs 2?

Jun 14, 6:27 PMDec 31, 7:20 PM

85.16%chance

162563

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2395

417

Will all living current and past presidents attend Joe Biden's funeral?

Jan 9, 8:31 PMJun 21, 3:59 AM

67.87%chance

111334

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1453

688

Will I conclude my life is better 1 year from now than it was at time of market creation?

Aug 21, 2:43 PMAug 21, 2:39 PM

68.73%chance

201322

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1482

675

Will Global Warming Wipe Out Humanity By 2100?

Jul 23, 10:14 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

8.05%chance

141012

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1587

910

Where will AF be living on 8/19/29?

Aug 20, 1:56 AMAug 20, 3:59 AM

4705

OptionProbability

NYC

New York State

Somewhere in NJ

Anywhere in Israel

Jerusalem

The American Southwest

Bay Area

Quebec

79

71

39

38

32

29

27

21

Will Nestlé publicly apologize for its role in past human rights abuses by 2030?

Aug 7, 2:51 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

33.74%chance

8545

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1401

714

Setagaya Family Murder Solved by EOY2030?

Jun 22, 4:14 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

45.66%chance

460

OptionVotes

YES

NO

109

92

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