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Prediction markets for Payments

Will Taylor Swift get married before Twitter launches a Peer to Peer payment system?

Jan 18, 5:24 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

85.86%chance

394509

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2245

610

Will X (formerly Twitter) implement some form of payments system before 2028?

Aug 14, 12:33 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

95.49%chance

134033

OptionVotes

NO

YES

4603

217

If someone accepts Eliezer Yudkowsky's offer to write an HPMOR sex scene in return for payment, will he follow through?

Dec 10, 1:00 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM

92.52%chance

292468

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1375

915

Will annual U.S. debt interest payments exceed 20% of federal budget revenue by 2028?

May 29, 1:39 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

55.55%chance

11951

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1118

895

Will Manifold be deplatformed by any of their payment processors or webhosting services over a refusal to moderate content?

Oct 31, 1:07 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

19%chance

19565

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1095

949

Will the average US Medicare payments rate increase in 2027 be <0.2%

Jan 27, 3:13 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

67.57%chance

3560

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1443

693

Will crypto currency payments be a common thing for millions of people on any continent?

Nov 8, 2:31 AMDec 15, 10:59 PM

50%chance

2492

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1000

1000

Will Annual UK Debt Interest Payments Exceed 20% of Government Budget Revenue by 2028?

May 29, 5:47 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

55.22%chance

2225

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1110

901

Which of these companies will partially accept Bitcoin (BTC) as a method of payment at the end of 2030?

Feb 2, 3:55 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

5123

OptionProbability

Twitch

Twitter

Starbucks

McDonalds

AT&T

Chegg

60

56

48

46

34

34

Will the Chinese government default on any debt payments before 2028?

May 6, 3:26 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

18.64%chance

686

OptionVotes

YES

NO

216

94

Will the Identity Verification market have grown faster than Digital Payments by 2030?

Jan 19, 6:03 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

64.71%chance

457

OptionVotes

NO

YES

101

80

Will Apple have a program that shuts out access based on non-payment on Apple financial services before 2030?

Dec 12, 10:47 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

37.19%chance

238

OptionVotes

YES

NO

65

38

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