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Prediction markets for Peak Points

Will the S&P 500 close above 7883.34 on December 31, 2026?

Jan 6, 2:50 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

52%chance

3720977

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1041

961

Will US Housing Prices Drop by 20%+ by the End of 2030?

Jun 14, 6:37 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

15%chance

3011263

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2380

420

Will Nvidia NVDA stock drop more than 50% from its peak at any point by the end of 2026?

Jun 21, 3:06 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

8.9%chance

585302

OptionVotes

YES

NO

914

325

Will global peak oil production occur before 2026?

Jan 17, 12:29 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

20%chance

364618

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1015

861

Will the world reach peak oil production before 2030?

Jan 23, 4:19 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

72.58%chance

404340

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1113

941

Will the MISO Indiana annual average wholesale electricity price for calendar year 2027 exceed 52 USD per MWh?

May 4, 8:35 PMMay 31, 11:00 PM

32.79%chance

33501

OptionVotes

YES

NO

12321

8650

Will global peak oil production occur before 2029?

Jan 20, 2:23 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

59.02%chance

293016

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1074

894

Will MISO Indiana Hub 2028 day-ahead annual average exceed US$60/MWh?

May 4, 8:35 PMMay 31, 11:00 PM

28.58%chance

42706

OptionVotes

YES

NO

12128

9013

Will global peak oil production occur before 2031?

Jan 17, 1:38 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

74.87%chance

362514

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1040

956

Will global CO2 emissions decrease in 2028?

Apr 17, 3:54 PMFeb 24, 9:59 PM

68.2%chance

231639

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1454

690

Will global peak oil production occur before 2027?

Jan 7, 4:56 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

23.96%chance

6418

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1255

893

Will the U.S. or Israel be at war with Iran at any point during the year in which global peak oil is reached?

May 10, 2:09 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

00

OptionProbability

Yes, Israel

Yes, Both U.S. and Israel

No, and the year is before 2030

Peak oil occurs 2030 or later

25

25

25

25

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