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Prediction markets for Performance Max

Will AI be Recursively Self Improving by mid 2026?

Aug 26, 7:20 PMAug 24, 6:59 AM

6.99%chance

12120999

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3646

274

10. Brain-computer interfaces transition to mainstream technology, Neuralink position in lead shakier [See full title!]

Dec 28, 11:39 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

39%chance

274155

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YES

NO

1253

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My manifold net worth in one year?

Aug 1, 8:35 PMAug 1, 8:25 PM

16919

OptionProbability

Above 1000

Above 2000

Above 4000

Above 8000

96

94

94

93

Bitcoin proves robust longterm investment by 2040?

Sep 29, 6:42 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

82.66%chance

4143

OptionVotes

NO

YES

218

46

Will Max Verstappen stop to Red Bull F1 end of this year 2026

Mar 30, 4:43 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

30.77%chance

150

OptionVotes

YES

NO

150

67

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