OptionVotes
YES
NO
30376
3292
1560
641
OptionProbability
Inventing a meat substitute that replaces $1B/year of meat production
Locking up every gang tattoo haver in El Salvador to reduce homicide rate from 100 to 2.4
Finding a gusher that produces 10 million barrels of oil over 10 years
Inventing a way to make your factory 10% more efficient and then firing 10% of its workforce (100 workers).
repealing occupational licensing for haircuts in city of 100,000 people
the average act of consensual sex
Having at least one child
Becoming vegan for one year
donating $10 to GiveWell
Spending $10 million on a yacht instead of investing it in SPY
The average rape
Donating $10 to an average political campaign in the US
Requiring US doctors to get an unrelated bachelor's degree before starting medical school for no reason
the average homicide
Delaying the covid vaccine approval by a month for no reason
80
75
68
65
64
60
56
54
50
44
39
38
35
32
19
321
114
115
87
