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Person News

Who will be the next person to win an election to US House District 11, other than Nancy Pelosi?

Jun 4, 5:21 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

121673450

OptionProbability

Scott Wiener

Connie Chan

Saikat Chakrabarti

Other

Bruce Lou

Christine Pelosi

Jane Kim

London Breed

Nancy Pelosi will live forever and always win

55

26

15

2

1

1

1

1

0

Will there be a unicorn founded and operated by just one person by 2030?

Feb 2, 2:06 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

38.84%chance

18789676

OptionVotes

NO

YES

12039

4432

Who will be TIME Magazine's 2026 Person of the Year?

Nov 30, 7:39 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

14387938

OptionProbability

Other

Donald Trump and/or JD Vance

Artificial Intelligence Itself (Including 'ChatGPT', 'Gemini', etc)

Xi Jinping

Vladimir Putin

Elon Musk

Zohran Mamdani

Sam Altman

Gavin Newsom

Pope Leo XIV (Robert Prevost)

Gen Z

Jeffrey Epstein

Self Driving Cars (Including 'Waymo', 'Uber', etc)

Marco Rubio

Benjamin Netanyahu

AOC

Jerome Powell

Sydney Sweeney

Demis Hassabis

Larry Ellison

Jensen Huang

Ozempic (Including "Semiglutide", "GLPs", "Eli Lily", etc )

Nicholas Maduro

Mark Zuckerberg

Dario Amodei

Lisa Su

Fei-Fei Li

Humanoid Robots (Including 'Optimus', 'Atlas', etc)

Millenials

Gen X

Baby Boomers

Volodymyr Zelenskyy

Scott Bessent

Sundar Pichai

Narendra Modi

Ursula von der Leyen

Jasmine Crockett

Graham Platner

Kevin Hassett

Gen Alpha

Claudia Sheinbaum

Cryptocurrency (Including 'Bitcoin', 'Etherium', etc)

Ahmed al-Sharaa

66

11

3

2

2

2

2

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

Who will be the richest person at the end of 2030?

Jan 2, 11:35 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

37978956

OptionProbability

Elon Musk

Other

Jensen Huang

Larry Page

Larry Ellison

Sam Altman

Jeff Bezos

Mark Zuckerberg

Bernard Arnault

Sergey Brin

Satoshi Nakamoto

Donald Trump

Michael Saylor

Bill Gates

Warren Buffett

me

Steve Ballmer

Gautam Adani

Mukesh Ambani

An AGI

Brian Armstrong

Changpeng “CZ” Zhao

Tim Draper

Jack Dorsey

Winklevoss Tyler/Cameron

@Mira

Vladimir Putin

Michael Dell

Amancio Ortega

Carlos Slim Helu

Vitalik Buterin

Eric Schmidt

Masayoshi Son

Dave Tepper

Ken Griffin

Eduardo Saverin

Morris Chang

34

26

10

8

3

3

2

2

2

2

1

1

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

Will at least one other person be found guilty in a court of law for involvement in Crooks' Trump assassination attempt?

Jul 18, 2:23 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

2.73%chance

1737081

OptionVotes

YES

NO

43981

7898

We will see a 100k person anti-AI protest before 2030

Feb 18, 3:51 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

72.14%chance

19129773

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1592

927

Will the first person to walk on Mars make it back to Earth?

Mar 26, 4:52 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

70.76%chance

17325218

OptionVotes

NO

YES

11898

9090

Will there be a one-person unicorn by 2030?

Feb 6, 10:41 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

38%chance

8113448

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1183

349

Will Elon Musk be the richest person in the world at the end of 2030?

Jan 4, 11:19 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

48.07%chance

607021

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1164

679

Will Moltbook be TIME person of the year 2026?

Jan 31, 5:00 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

1.01%chance

171956

OptionVotes

YES

NO

991

10

Will a person die on the moon before the end of 2050?

Mar 26, 5:44 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

57.6%chance

28604

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1994

1962

If this person wins the 2026 Texas Senate seat Democratic primary, will they become Senator?

Dec 9, 1:41 AMNov 3, 11:59 PM

12454

OptionProbability

James Talarico

Colin Allred

Jasmine Crockett

45

22

16

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