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Personal Assistants News

In 2040, will expert consensus suggest there are strong innate psychological differences by biological sex?

Mar 15, 1:46 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

53.1%chance

8512884

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1377

1032

Will expert consensus suggest there are strong innate psychological differences by biological sex? (Excluding: sex desire)

Apr 2, 5:39 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

55.12%chance

428528

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1110

864

Will a clawdbot have been proven to have exfiltrated without help from its human to another host by end of February 2026

Feb 1, 4:55 PMMar 3, 11:59 PM

50.41%chance

343035

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1008

992

Will Moltbook survive through feb 2026?

Jan 31, 2:10 PMMar 1, 2:06 PM

94.72%chance

291232

OptionVotes

NO

YES

424

24

2030 – 2. We interact with a wide range of AIs in our daily lives as naturally as we interact with other humans today

Mar 11, 12:07 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

88.83%chance

141045

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1519

876

Will there be a robot caregiver that can take care of a person 80+ years old w/o assistance by end of 2040?

Feb 3, 12:07 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

80.17%chance

32954

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1302

883

Daily LLM assistant personal usage exceeds 2 hours for >10% of users by end-2025?

Sep 23, 2:03 AMApr 1, 10:59 PM

30.72%chance

14930

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1502

666

Will formal verification become "mainstream" before 2031?

Jan 20, 10:37 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

15%chance

9406

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1062

317

Daily LLM assistant personal usage exceeds 2 hours for >10% of users on any platform by end-2026?

Sep 23, 2:01 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

52.09%chance

3152

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1043

959

Will human intelligence augmentation / embryo selection get $10m+ from EA funders before 2030?

Oct 31, 6:26 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM

52.08%chance

8132

OptionVotes

NO

YES

265

178

Will Lada Nuzhna value her time highly enough to hire a personal assistant by 2027?

Sep 11, 5:06 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

50%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

50

50

Will Jose Luis Ricon value his time highly enough to hire a personal assistant by 2027?

Sep 11, 5:06 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

50%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

50

50

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