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US Dollar Index Steadies at 97.9, Set for 2% August Drop on Fed Rate Cut Bets; Gold Nears $3,400 as Core PCE Inflation Hits 2.9% YoY
Authors
9
10 months ago
Prediction markets for Personal Consumption Expenditure
Prediction markets for Personal Consumption Expenditure
Will May 2026 U.S. real personal consumption expenditures rise at least 0.3% month-over-month?
Jun 6, 12:14 PM
Jun 25, 12:25 PM
61.86%
chance
13
450
Option
Votes
NO
YES
138
67
Will May 2026 core PCE inflation be at least 0.3% month-over-month?
May 23, 8:14 AM
Jun 25, 12:35 PM
31.31%
chance
11
220
Option
Votes
YES
NO
138
77
Will May 2026 headline PCE inflation be at least 0.3% month-over-month?
May 23, 1:14 PM
Jun 25, 12:35 PM
74.9%
chance
8
152
Option
Votes
NO
YES
179
49
Will May 2026 U.S. personal consumption expenditures rise at least 0.5% month-over-month?
Jun 5, 11:13 PM
Jun 25, 12:25 PM
46.76%
chance
7
92
Option
Votes
YES
NO
107
94
Will June 2026 U.S. personal consumption expenditures rise at least 0.5% month-over-month?
Jun 10, 3:14 PM
Jul 30, 12:25 PM
50%
chance
0
0
Option
Votes
NO
YES
100
100
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