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Top stories

Google Equips Gemini with Automatic Memory and 72-Hour Temporary Chats

Google Equips Gemini with Automatic Memory and 72-Hour Temporary Chats

Authors

33

2 days ago

Prediction markets for Personal Context

Will SpaceX's Starship Superheavy launch vehicle reach 500 total successful launches by Jan 1st 2030?

Apr 25, 3:04 AMDec 31, 2:00 PM

15%chance

114226036

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1847

1122

Will there be a Wikipedia page on @firstuserhere by the end of 2026? ($1k Mana subsidy)

Sep 29, 7:00 AMDec 31, 6:29 PM

4.32%chance

72109404

OptionVotes

YES

NO

10376

758

[MANA BOUNTY + USD BOUNTY] Will Manifold help me land a role I'm happy with by EOY 2025?

Jul 5, 12:41 PMDec 30, 11:59 PM

20.57%chance

3612418

OptionVotes

YES

NO

19650

5089

Will I have a new serious relationship within the next 5 years?

Jun 11, 4:45 PMJun 18, 8:59 PM

3011898

OptionProbability

With a cisgender woman

With anyone at all

With a cisgender man

With a transfeminine person

With a transmasculine person

100

100

40

39

24

If I'm alive by 2026, will I believe it is due to personal enjoyment of living or altruistic purposes

Jun 20, 5:45 PMJan 1, 5:01 AM

30.52%chance

214493

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1641

415

Will an AI be able to play a type of video game that it wasn't trained on before 2026?

Nov 13, 6:24 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

25.59%chance

574197

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1732

238

If I offer someone on a plane $20 to take off their mask for the remainder of the flight, will they accept?

Mar 13, 5:32 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

17.25%chance

713252

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1802

902

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky get fully blaked before 2027?

Feb 24, 11:59 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM

19.71%chance

463064

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1148

938

Will an elected US Federal official express that "If anyone builds it, everyone dies" before 2026?

Jul 3, 5:09 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

35.68%chance

152245

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1343

745

Will I send my autoimmune disease (Hashimoto’s) into remission through diet and lifestyle changes alone?

May 16, 12:24 AMSep 23, 12:02 AM

37.78%chance

11875

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1283

779

Will there be an Ozymandias-Beihai act motivated by AI risks by 2035?

Jun 15, 12:04 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

44.93%chance

7176

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1107

903

Will tech bros turn the US into an open oligarchy / plutocracy?

Jan 19, 5:56 PMFeb 26, 10:59 PM

51.98%chance

4161

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1040

961

Latest stories

Latest stories

Aug 13, 2025
Aug 13, 2025
Software
AI Products
Tech
Google Equips Gemini with Automatic Memory and 72-Hour Temporary Chats
Authors
33
2 days ago

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