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Prediction markets for Personally Identifiable Information

Will there be more than 100K AI successionists globally by Nov 7, 2028?

Apr 28, 4:20 AMNov 7, 11:59 PM

31%chance

1819062

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1492

670

Before 2027, will an AI product from an American frontier lab readily identify Fetal Alcohol Syndrome in faces?

Sep 15, 11:02 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

18.4%chance

51190

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2106

475

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...? [Polymarket]

Sep 9, 12:42 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

12937

OptionProbability

October 31

September 14

September 21

September 30

2

0

0

0

Will Israel agree to the Board of Peace Gaza plan in 2026?

Aug 8, 4:13 AMJan 5, 11:59 PM

12.28%chance

11349

OptionVotes

YES

NO

267

37

Will any company be GDPR fined for inputting personally identifiable information into ChatGPT before 2030?

Feb 9, 2:04 AMJan 1, 3:59 AM

60.48%chance

9235

OptionVotes

NO

YES

131

122

Will a Russian actor be publicly attributed with stealing weights from a frontier AI developer before 2030?

Oct 30, 11:42 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

48.12%chance

4157

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1091

1011

Setagaya Family Murder Solved by EOY2030?

Jun 22, 4:14 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

47.3%chance

768

OptionVotes

YES

NO

106

95

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