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Top stories

MIT Study Spurs Global Rethink of Classroom AI Use

MIT Study Spurs Global Rethink of Classroom AI Use

Authors

8

1 year ago

Microsoft AI Chief and Elon Musk Warn of Mental Health Risks From Seemingly Conscious AI Amid Pew Poll Enthusiasm Gap

Microsoft AI Chief and Elon Musk Warn of Mental Health Risks From Seemingly Conscious AI Amid Pew Poll Enthusiasm Gap

Authors

9

11 months ago

Prediction markets for Pew

Will there be more than 100K AI successionists globally by Nov 7, 2028?

Apr 28, 4:20 AMNov 7, 11:59 PM

31%chance

1819062

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1492

670

Will the percentage of U.S. adults identifying as Christian in the U.S. drop below 60% by the end of 2026?

Apr 13, 8:53 PMJan 1, 10:59 AM

19.29%chance

555029

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2015

243

AI More Important as a Voting Topic Than Abortion? (2028 US Presidential)

Dec 22, 6:04 PMNov 7, 11:59 PM

76.07%chance

214640

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1783

561

More than 70% of U.S. population believe Trump is too old to be president by EOY 2026

Jan 22, 8:36 AMDec 31, 12:00 AM

40.07%chance

292982

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1223

818

At the beginning of 2027, will Americans like Sam Altman more than they like Mark Zuckerberg?

Apr 4, 5:59 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

51.22%chance

341697

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1171

739

Will a romantic relationship with an AI chatbot comprise 25% of all relationships within the USA before the year 2030?

Aug 28, 10:35 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

11.66%chance

241443

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1414

896

Will at least 25% of US retail investors report using an AI agent for an investment-related task by the end of 2027?

May 11, 4:15 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

74.09%chance

4790

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1691

591

Will pewdiepie switch to nixos in 2026?

Jun 9, 9:09 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

26.15%chance

10222

OptionVotes

YES

NO

168

60

PewDiePie Stock (Permanent)

Nov 16, 4:34 PMAug 11, 9:43 PM

5211

OptionProbability

NO

YES

115

101

How many kids will PewDiePie have by his age 40? (By mid 2030)

Dec 7, 2:04 AMJul 1, 6:59 AM

3110

OptionProbability

2

3

5+

1

4

46

22

16

12

5

Will MAGA represent more than 20% of the electorate after January 2029?

Mar 13, 10:36 PMJan 31, 11:59 PM

24.75%chance

5103

OptionVotes

YES

NO

174

57

Conditional on Nevada voting No on Question 3 in 2024, what will turnout be in their next primary elections?

Dec 21, 7:44 AMDec 31, 8:00 PM

32.2%chance

497

OptionVotes

NO

YES

105

102

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