Phase III News

FDA Rejects PTC Therapeutics’ Vatiquinone for Friedreich’s Ataxia

4 months ago

Health

Pharma

Science

FDA Clears Tonix’s Tonmya, First Fibromyalgia Therapy Since 2009

4 months ago

Will development of a universal flu vaccine have made significant progress by 2026?

Dec 15, 7:32 PMDec 31, 7:00 AM

18.98%chance

311734

OptionVotes

YES

2069

332

Will AOH1996 advance past Phase II trials by the end of 2027?

Aug 3, 6:56 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

43.26%chance

15884

OptionVotes

YES

1068

895

What will be the vaccine efficacy of the two-dose Johnson & Johnson Ad26.COV2.S vaccine candidate according to the results of Phase III testing?

Mar 6, 2:30 AMFeb 1, 4:59 AM

84.98%chance

3506

OptionVotes

YES

106

Does Janssen's CD59 gene therapy for age-related macular degeneration work?

Jun 4, 2:58 AMJun 11, 6:59 AM

34.12%chance

3401

OptionVotes

YES

1393

723

Will Deuterated N,N-Dimethyltryptamine undergo phase III trials by EOY 2027?

Jan 17, 1:47 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

24%chance

6290

OptionVotes

YES

143

112

[Metaculus] By June 2032, will the US FDA authorize a vaccine w/o phase III in response to a public health emergency?

Oct 12, 10:28 PMJun 2, 9:00 AM

15.79%chance

5156

OptionVotes

YES

219

When will the first RISUG procedure become commercially available?

Jun 30, 1:25 PMDec 30, 2:21 PM

190

OptionProbability

2035 or later

2026

2025

2027

2028

2029

2030

2031

2032

2033

2034

Will Arketamine promote a greater anti-depressant effect than Esketamine?

Apr 17, 11:24 PMApr 24, 11:24 PM

56.27%chance

666

OptionVotes

YES

946

945

Will a dengue vaccine based on TV003/TV005 be approved before 2050?

Jan 4, 12:34 AMDec 31, 9:59 PM

60.73%chance

443

OptionVotes

YES

331

294

Will a novel therapeutic/device which confers a survival benefit for glioblastoma be FDA approved by EOY 2028?

Aug 16, 12:43 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

50.83%chance

340

OptionVotes

YES

610

590

Which of these NIAC Phase III missions will be executed before 2100?

Sep 9, 4:29 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

418

OptionProbability

Robotic Technologies Enabling the Exploration of Lunar Pits

Direct Multipixel Imaging and Spectroscopy of an Exoplanet with a Solar Gravitational Lens Mission

Diffractive Solar Sailing

Cube-Sat Space Flight Test of a Neutrino Detector

Mini Bee Prototype to Demonstrate the Apis Mission Architecture and Optical Mining Technology

None of the above

Will cevumeran start a Phase III trial for pancreatic cancer by 2030?

May 26, 9:27 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

57.43%chance

212

OptionVotes

YES

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Will development of a universal flu vaccine have made significant progress by 2026?

Will AOH1996 advance past Phase II trials by the end of 2027?

What will be the vaccine efficacy of the two-dose Johnson & Johnson Ad26.COV2.S vaccine candidate according to the results of Phase III testing?

Does Janssen's CD59 gene therapy for age-related macular degeneration work?

Will Deuterated N,N-Dimethyltryptamine undergo phase III trials by EOY 2027?

[Metaculus] By June 2032, will the US FDA authorize a vaccine w/o phase III in response to a public health emergency?

When will the first RISUG procedure become commercially available?

Will Arketamine promote a greater anti-depressant effect than Esketamine?

Will a dengue vaccine based on TV003/TV005 be approved before 2050?

Will a novel therapeutic/device which confers a survival benefit for glioblastoma be FDA approved by EOY 2028?

Which of these NIAC Phase III missions will be executed before 2100?

Will cevumeran start a Phase III trial for pancreatic cancer by 2030?

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