OptionProbability
5/16 6:30 PM: Will the (Minnesota) Lynx WIN against the (Dallas) Wings?
5/16 9:00 PM: Will the (Los Angeles) Sparks WIN against the (Golden State) Valkyries?
5/18 12:00 PM: Will the (Washington) Mystics WIN against the (Connecticut) Sun?
5/18 5:00 PM: Will the (Minnesota) Lynx WIN against the (Los Angeles) Sparks?
5/19 7:00 PM: Will the (Seattle) Storm WIN against the (Dallas) Wings?
5/20 6:00 PM: Will the (Las Vegas) Aces WIN against the (Connecticut) Sun?
5/20 6:00 PM: Will the (Atlanta) Dream WIN against the (Indiana) Fever?
5/22 6:30 PM: Will the (Indiana) Fever WIN against the (Atlanta) Dream?
5/22 7:00 PM: Will the (New York) Liberty WIN against the (Chicago) Sky?
5/23 9:00 PM: Will the (Golden State) Valkyries WIN against the (Los Angeles) Sparks?
5/24 12:00 PM: Will the (New York) Liberty WIN against the (Indiana) Fever?
5/27 6:00 PM: Will the (Dallas) Wings WIN against the (Connecticut) Sun?
5/27 9:00 PM: Will the (Atlanta Dream WIN against (Los Angeles) Sparks?
5/30 6:30 PM: Will the (Connecticut) Suns against the (Indiana) Fever?
5/30 6:30 PM: Will the (New York) Liberty against the (Washington) Mystics?
5/30 9:00 PM: Will the (Minnesota) Lynx against the (Phoenix) Mercury?
5/30 9:00 PM: Will the (Atlanta) Dream against the (Seattle) Storm?
5/31 7:00 PM: Will the (Chicago) Sky against the (Dallas) Wings?
6/1 5:00 PM: Will the (Phoenix) Mercury against the (Los Angeles) Sparks?
6/1 5:00 PM: Will the (Las Vegas) Aces against the (Seattle) Storm?
6/1 7:30 PM: Will the (Minnesota) Lynx against the (Golden State) Valkyries?
6/5 6:30 PM: Will the (New York) Liberty against the (Washington) Mystics?
6/6 8:30 PM: Will the (Los Angeles) Sparks against the (Dallas) Wings?
6/7 7:00 PM: Will the (Indiana) Fever against the (Chicago) Sky?
6/7 9:00 PM: Will the (Seattle) Storm against the (Phoenix) Mercury?
6/9 9:00 PM: Will the (Golden State) Valyries against the (Los Angeles) Sparkd?
6/11 9:00 PM: Will the (Los Angeles) Sparks against the (Las Vegas) Aces?
6/15 11:00 AM: Will the (Chicago) Sky WIN against the (Connecticut) Sun?
6/15 1:00 PM: Will the (Atlanta) Dream WIN against the (Washington) Mystics?
6/15 5:00 PM: Will the (Phoenix) Mercury WIN against the (Las Vegas) Ace?
6/18 6:00 PM: Will the (Phoenix) Mercury WIN against the (Connecticut) Sun?
6/19 6:00 PM: Will the (Phoenix) Mercury WIN against the (New York) Liberty?
6/20 6:30 PM: Will the (Dallas) Wings WIN against the (Connecticut) Sun?
6/20 9:00 PM: Will the (Seattle) Storm WIN against the (Las Vegas) Aces?
6/21 12:00 PM: Will the (Phoenix) Mercury WIN against the (Chicago) Sky?
6/25 9:00 PM: Will the (New York) Liberty WIN against the (Golden State) Valkyries?
6/26 6:00 PM: Will the (Los Angeles) Sparks WIN against the (Indiana) Fever?
6/26 9:00 PM: Will the (Washington) Mystics WIN against the (Las Vegas) Aces?
6/27 6:30 PM: Will the (Minnesota) Lynx WIN against the (Atlanta) Dream?
6/27 6:30 PM: Will the (Indiana) Fever WIN against the (Dallas) Wings?
6/29 3:00 PM: Will the (Chicago) Sky WIN against the (Los Angeles) Sparks?
6/29 5:00 PM: Will the (Las Vegas) Aces WIN against the (Phoenix) Mercury?
7/1 7:00 PM: Will the (Indiana) Fever WIN against the (Minnesota) Lynx?
7/3 6:30 PM: Will the (Seattle) Storm WIN against the (Atlanta) Dream?
7/5 6:00 PM: Will the (Los Angeles) Sparks WIN against the (Indiana) Fever?
7/6 12:00 PM: Will the (Seattle) Storm WIN against the (New York) Liberty?
7/6 3:00 PM: Will the (Las Vegas) Aces WIN against the (Connecticut) Sun?
7/10 2:00 PM: Will the (Minnesota) Lynx WIN against the (Las Vegas) Aces?
7/13 5:00 PM: Will the (Washington) Mystics WIN against the (Seattle) Storm?
7/14 7:00 PM: Will the (Minnesota) Lynx WIN against the (Chicago) Sky?
7/14 9:00 PM: Will the (Phoenix) Mercury WIN against the (Golden State) Valkyries?
7/15 7:00 PM: Will the (Indiana) Fever WIN against the (Connecticut) Sun?
7/16 11:00 AM: Will the (Atlanta) Dream WIN against the (Chicago) Sky?
7/16 7:00 PM: Will the (Las Vegas) Aces WIN against the (Dallas) Wings?
7/22 6:30 PM: Will the (Los Angeles) Sparks WIN against the (Washington) Mystic?
7/22 9:00 PM: Will the (Dallas) Wings WIN against the (Seattle) Storm?
7/23 9:00 PM: Will the (Atlanta) Dream WIN against the (Phoenix) Mercury?
7/24 6:00 PM: Will the (Los Angeles) Sparks WIN against the (Connecticut) Sun?
7/26 6:00 PM: Will the (Los Angeles) Sparks WIN against the (New York) Liberty?
7/28 6:00 PM: Will the (Seattle) Storm WIN against the (Connecticut) Sun?
7/29 6:30 PM: Will the (Golden State) Valkyries WIN against the (Atlanta) Dream?
7/31 6:30 PM: Will the (Golden State) Valkyries WIN against the (Washington) Mystics?
8/01 6:30 PM: Will the (Phoenix) Mercury WIN against the (Atlanta) Dream?
5/16 6:30 PM: Will the (Atlanta) Dream WIN against the (Washington) Mystics?
5/17 12:00 PM: Will the (Chicago) Sky WIN against the (Indiana) Fever?
5/17 2:00 PM: Will the (Las Vegas) Aces WIN against the (New York) Liberty?
5/17 9:00 PM: Will the (Seattle) Storm WIN against the (Phoenix) Mercury?
5/21 7:00 PM: Will the (Dallas) Wingz WIN against the (Minnesota) Lynx?
5/21 9:00 PM: Will the (Washington) Mystics WIN against the (Golden State) Valkyries?
5/21 9:00 PM: Will the (Los Angeles) Sparks WIN against the (Phoenix) Mercury?
5/23 6:30 PM: Will the (Connecticut) Sun WIN against the (Minnesota) Lynx?
5/23 9:00 PM: Will the (Washington) Mystics WIN against the (Las Vegas) Aces?
5/23 9:00 PM: Will the (Phoenix) Mercury WIN against the (Seattle) Storm?
5/24 2:00 PM: Will the (Dallas) Wings WIN against the (Atlanta) Dream?
5/25 2:00 PM: Will the (Connecticut) Sun WIN against the (Atlanta) Dream?
5/25 5:00 PM: Will the (Chicago) Sky WIN against the (Los Angeles) Sparks?
5/25 5:00 PM: Will the (Washington) Mystics WIN against the (Phoenix) Mercury?
5/25 5:00 PM: Will the (Las Vegas) Aces WIN against the (Seattle) Storm?
5/27 6:00 PM: Will the (Golden State) Valkyriess WIN against the (New York) Liberty?
5/27 7:00 PM: Will the (Seattle) Storm WIN against the (Minnesota) Lynx?
5/27 6:00 PM: Will the (Chicago Sky) against the (Phoenix) Mercury?
5/28 6:30 PM: Will the (Indiana) Fever against the (Washington) Mystics?
5/29 6:00 PM: Will the (Golden State) Valkyries against the (New York) Liberty?
5/29 6:00 PM: Will the (Dallas) Wings against the (Chicago) Sky?
5/30 9:00 PM: Will the (Los Angeles) Sparks against the (Las Vegas) Aces?
6/1 2:00 PM: Will the (Connecticut) Suns against the (New York) Liberty?
6/3 6:00 PM: Will the (Washington) Mystics against the (Indiana) Fever?
6/3 7:00 PM: Will the (Phoenix) Mercury against the (Minnesota) Lynx?
6/3 8:30 PM: Will the (Dallas) Wings against the (Seattle) Storm?
6/5 9:00 PM: Will the (Golden State) Valkyries against the (Phoenix) Mercury?
6/6 6:30 PM: Will the (Atlanta) Dream against the (Connecticut) Sun?
6/7 2:00 PM: Will the (Las Vegas) Aces against the (Golden State) Valkyries?
6/11 9:00 PM: Will the (Dallas) Wings against the (Phoenix) Mercury?
6/11 9:00 PM: Will the (Minnesota) Lynx against the (Seattle) Storm?
6/13 6:30 PM: Will the (Chicago) Sky WIN against the (Atlanta) Dream?
6/13 9:00 PM: Will the (Dallas) Wings WIN against the (Las Vegas) Aces?
6/14 12:00 PM: Will the (Los Angeles) Sparks WIN against the (Minnesota) Lynx?
6/14 2:00 PM: Will the (New York) Liberty WIN against the (Indiana) Fever?
6/14 7:30 PM: Will the (Seattle) Storm WIN against the (Golden State) Valkyries?
6/17 6:00 PM: Will the (Connecticut) Sun WIN against the (Indiana) Fever?
6/19 9:00 PM: Will the (Indiana) Fever WIN against the (Golden State) Valkyries?
6/20 6:30 PM: Will the (Washington) Mystics WIN against the (Atlanta) Dream?
6/21 7:00 PM: Will the (Los Angeles) Sparks WIN against the (Minnesota) Lynx?
6/22 2:00 PM: Will the (Chicago) Sky WIN against the (Atlanta) Dream?
6/22 2:00 PM: Will the (Dallas) Wings WIN against the (Washington) Mystics?
6/22 2:00 PM: Will the (Indiana) Fever WIN against the (Las Vegas) Aces?
6/22 6:00 PM: Will the (New York) Liberty WIN against the (Seattle) Storm?
6/24 7:00 PM: Will the (Minnesota) Lynx WIN against the (Washington) Mystics?
6/25 9:00 PM: Will the (Connectictu) Sun WIN against the (Las Vegas) Aces?
6/27 9:00 PM: Will the (Chicago) Sky WIN against the (Golden State) Valkyries?
6/27 9:00 PM: Will the (New York) Liberty WIN against the (Phoenix) Mercury?
6/27 9:00 PM: Will the (Connecticut) Sun WIN against the (Seattle) Storm?
6/28 7:00 PM: Will the (Washington) Mystics WIN against the (Dallas) Wings?
6/29 2:00 PM: Will the (New York) Liberty WIN against the (Atlanta) Dream?
6/29 6:00 PM: Will the (Connecticut) Sun WIN against the (Minnesota) Lynx?
6/29 7:30 PM: Will the (Seattle) Storm WIN against the (Golden State) Valkyries?
7/3 6:00 PM: Will the (Las Vegas) Aces WIN against the (Indiana) Fever?
7/3 6:00 PM: Will the (Los Angeles) Aces WIN against the (New York) Liberty?
7/3 7:00 PM: Will the (Phoenix) Mercury WIN against the (Dallas) Wings?
7/3 7:00 PM: Will the (Washington) Mystics WIN against the (Minnesota) Lynx?
7/5 7:00 PM: Will the (Golden State) Valkyries WIN against the (Minnesota) Lynx?
7/6 6:00 PM: Will the (Chicago) Sky WIN against the (Minnesota) Lynx?
7/7 6:30 PM: Will the (Golden State) Valkyries WIN against the (Atlanta) Dream?
7/7 9:00 PM: Will the (Dallas) Wings WIN against the (Phoenix) Mercury?
7/8 10:30 AM: Will the (Chicago) Sky WIN against the (Washington) Mystics?
7/8 7:00 PM: Will the (Las Vegas) Aces WIN against the (New York) Liberty?
7/9 10:00 AM: Will the (Seattle) Storm WIN against the (Connecticut) Sun?
7/12 12:00 PM: Will the (Minnesota) Lynx WIN against the (Chicago) Sky?
7/12 3:00 PM: Will the (Golden State) Valkyries WIN against the (Las Vegas) Aces?
7/13 12:00 PM: Will the (Dallas) Wings WIN against the (Indiana) Fever?
7/13 2:00 PM: Will the (Atlanta) Dream WIN against the (New York) Liberty?
7/13 5:00 PM: Will the (Connecticut) Sun WIN against the (Las Vegas) Aces?
7/15 7:00 PM: Will the (Washington) Mystics WIN against the (Los Angeles) Sparks?
7/16 12:00 PM: Will the (Phoenix) Mercury WIN against the (Minnesota) Lynx?
7/16 2:00 PM: Will the (Golden State) Valkyries WIN against the (Seattle) Storm?
7/16 6:30 PM: Will the (Indiana) Fever WIN against the (New York) Liberty?
7/22 7:00 PM: Will the (Indiana) Fever WIN against the (New York) Liberty?
7/22 7:00 PM: Will the (Chicago) Sky WIN against the (Minnesota) Lynx?
7/22 9:00 PM: Will the (Atlanta) Dream WIN against the (Las Vegas) Aces?
7/25 6:30 PM: Will the (Phoenix) Mercury WIN against the (New York) Liberty?
7/25 6:30 PM: Will the (Las Vegas) Aces WIN against the (Minnesota) Lynx?
7/25 9:00 PM: Will the (Dallas) Wings WIN against the (Golden State) Valkyries?
7/26 6:30 PM: Will the (Seattle) Storm WIN against the (Washington) Mystics?
7/27 12:00 PM: Will the (Golden State) Valkyries WIN against the (Connecticut) Sun?
7/28 7:00 PM: Will the (New York) Liberty WIN against the (Dallas) Wings?
7/30 6:00 PM: Will the (Phoenix) Mercury WIN against the (Indiana) Dream?
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
OptionProbability
Oklahoma City Thunder
Denver Nuggets
Cleveland Cavaliers
Houston Rockets
New York Knicks
Los Angeles Lakers
Dallas Mavericks
Atlanta Hawks
Golden State Warriors
Los Angeles Clippers
Minnesota Timberwolves
Orlando Magic
Boston Celtics
Philadelphia 76ers
Memphis Grizzlies
Indiana Pacers
San Antonio Spurs
Milwaukee Bucks
Detroit Pistons
Phoenix Suns
Miami Heat
New Orleans Pelicans
Sacramento Kings
Toronto Raptors
Brooklyn Nets
Portland Trail Blazers
Chicago Bulls
Utah Jazz
Washington Wizards
Charlotte Hornets
22
13
11
9
8
5
4
4
3
3
3
3
2
2
2
2
2
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
OptionProbability
Oklahoma City Thunder
Denver Nuggets
Houston Rockets
Minnesota Timberwolves
New York Knicks
Cleveland Cavaliers
Orlando Magic
Boston Celtics
Detroit Pistons
Los Angeles Lakers
Los Angeles Clippers
Atlanta Hawks
Golden State Warriors
Milwaukee Bucks
Dallas Mavericks
Indiana Pacers
Philadelphia 76ers
San Antonio Spurs
Memphis Grizzlies
Toronto Raptors
Miami Heat
Portland Trail Blazers
Phoenix Suns
Sacramento Kings
New Orleans Pelicans
Chicago Bulls
Brooklyn Nets
Charlotte Hornets
Utah Jazz
Washington Wizards
98
94
90
90
89
87
84
80
73
72
67
66
65
63
58
57
55
53
48
45
36
29
28
26
24
23
19
15
15
9
OptionProbability
Team will be scoreless for a quarter
Super Bowl MVP is a quarterback
Winning team has more total yards
First play from scrimmage is a rush
Opening kickoff result is a touchback
Last play is 'victory formation'
Player spikes ball during a touchdown celebration
Player crying during national anthem
Quarterback runs in for a touchdown
Announcer says "goat"
Player gets carted off the field
Current or former US President in attendance
Announcer says "tush push"
First score is a touchdown
Both teams make 33 yard or longer field goal
Team that scores last wins the game
Score is tied again after 0-0
Broadcast uses video from pylon camera
Both teams score in 1st quarter
Failed 4th down attempt
Gatorade shower color is yellow/green
An administrative timeout is taken
Player goes into the blue tent
Winning team has more passing yards
Player with prime jersey number scores a touchdown
Rules analyst disagrees with a decision a ref made
Holding call in 4th quarter
Taylor Swift is at the game
Chains used to measure first down 1+ times
WM Phoenix Open winning score under par is higher than Super Bowl kicking points
First turnover is an interception
Head coach throws a challenge flag
Tom Brady is at the game
Super Bowl is won by a bird team
First score is a field goal
Coin toss is 'heads'
Coin toss is 'tails'
National anthem is over 2 minutes
Player flagged for unsportsmanlike conduct
Head coach or player throws something on sideline in frustration
Team scores in all 4 quarters (same team)
50+ yard field goal is made
Team scores in last 30 seconds of either half
Any player scores 2+ touchdowns
Winning margin is 10+ points
Illegal use of hands to the face penalty given
Kicker is iced
2 point conversion attempted
Team scores in the last 30 seconds of the game
Play with one or more attempted laterals occurs
Any player scores 7+ points individually
Ruling on the field gets overturned by review
All quarters have points scored (no 0-0 quarters)
Super Bowl MVP threw an interception or fumbled during the game
No penalty called in last 5 minutes of the game
Any current or former US president is directly referenced by announcer
Penalty for 'roughing the passer' is given
Either quarterback has 2+ interceptions
Tush Push touchdown is made
Injury timeout is taken
Final combined total of QB pass completions is odd
[1st half total score] > [2nd half total score]
[Total score] > [Longest field goal made]
First touchdown celebration includes acrobatics
Any player has a 60+ yard reception
Both teams complete their first pass attempt
Special teams touchdown
Onside kick attempt
Player shown eating a snack on the sideline
Jersey number of last touchdown scorer is even
Altercation occurs between a player and a coach
Trick play results in positive yardage
Both teams have a 4th quarter lead
50+ yard return
Kick is missed
Successful 2-point conversion
First drive of game is a '3 and out'
Team leading at halftime loses
Live animal enters the field of play
Any QB throws for 400 or more yards in the game
Player retires immediately after game
Backup QB gets put in the game
A player catches the ball with one hand
Player knocks non-player over on the sideline
No penalties in the 4th quarter
Any player successfully hurdles a defender
Wild Card team makes the Super Bowl
Teams are a rematch of a previous super bowl
Unauthorized person gets on the field of play
Winning team has more turnovers
At least one team has 0 points at halftime
Announcer says “hawk-eye”
Team has 5+ sacks
Final score is the same as the final score of a previous Super Bowl
[LX total score] > [LIX total score]
Streaker (fully or partially nude on field)
A player listed over 260 lbs scores a touchdown
Announcer says "stud"
Team is a first time super bowl winner
Points scored in the first 90 seconds
A player's jersey gets torn
Unauthorized person touches midfield logo
Player gets ejected from the game
Score is tied at half-time
Puppy Bowl 2026 MVP shares a first or last name with the SB MVP
Team wins by exactly one point
QB catches a pass from any player
Kick is successfully blocked
There is a doink
No rushing touchdowns scored
Pick 6 occurs
Game goes to OT
Successful 'hail mary' pass is made
Final score is scorigami
A safety is scored
Any player to score an octopus
Super Bowl MVP not from winning team
Stadium blackout occurs
Super Bowl is canceled, postponed or rescheduled (from 2-8-2026)
85
79
77
75
75
69
69
67
66
66
60
59
59
59
59
59
59
59
59
55
55
55
55
55
55
55
55
54
54
54
51
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
49
49
45
45
45
45
45
45
45
45
44
43
41
41
41
39
39
39
39
39
39
39
39
37
37
37
34
34
31
31
31
31
31
31
28
26
26
26
25
23
20
19
16
15
14
14
13
12
11
10
9
9
7
5
4
OptionProbability
[Cruise doesn't relaunch in the US]
Phoenix, AZ
Miami, Florida
San Francisco, CA
Austin, TX
Houston, TX
Dallas/Fort Worth, TX
Las Vegas, NV
Other
88
10
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
OptionProbability
Oklahoma City Thunder
Boston Celtics
San Antonio Spurs
Cleveland Cavaliers
Denver Nuggets
Orlando Magic
Toronto Raptors
Washington Wizards
Dallas Mavericks
Los Angeles Lakers
Golden State Warriors
Houston Rockets
Indiana Pacers
Milwaukee Bucks
New York Knicks
Philadelphia 76ers
Utah Jazz
Atlanta Hawks
Brooklyn Nets
Charlotte Hornets
Chicago Bulls
Detroit Pistons
Los Angeles Clippers
Memphis Grizzlies
Miami Heat
Minnesota Timberwolves
New Orleans Pelicans
Phoenix Suns
Portland Trail Blazers
Sacramento Kings
Other
23
13
8
6
5
4
4
4
3
3
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
OptionVotes
YES
NO
3178
315
OptionProbability
Oklahoma City Thunder
Boston Celtics
San Antonio Spurs
Denver Nuggets
Milwaukee Bucks
Los Angeles Clippers
Cleveland Cavaliers
Minnesota Timberwolves
Utah Jazz
Los Angeles Lakers
Dallas Mavericks
Houston Rockets
Phoenix Suns
Golden State Warriors
Philadelphia 76ers
Miami Heat
Memphis Grizzlies
New Orleans Pelicans
Sacramento Kings
New York Knicks
Atlanta Hawks
Toronto Raptors
Brooklyn Nets
Portland Trail Blazers
Chicago Bulls
Indiana Pacers
Washington Wizards
Orlando Magic
Detroit Pistons
Charlotte Hornets
13
8
8
5
4
4
4
4
4
3
3
3
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
OptionVotes
YES
NO
995
10
OptionProbability
Minnesota Lynx
New York Liberty
Phoenix Mercury
Atlanta Dream
Indiana Fever
Las Vegas Aces
Seattle Storm
Golden State Valkyries
Dallas Wings
Los Angeles Sparks
Chicago Sky
Washington Mystics
Connecticut Sun
No trophy awarded in 2025
39
20
9
9
6
5
3
2
1
1
1
1
1
0
OptionProbability
Seattle, WA
Other
Phoenix, AZ
Nashville, TN
Chicago, IL
The Bay Area, CA
New York City, NY
Boston, MA
Philadelphia, PA
Austin, TX
16
13
12
10
9
8
8
8
8
8
OptionVotes
YES
NO
60
42