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Prediction markets for Phone

Which phone brand will win MKBHD's Phone of the Year Award 2025?

Feb 7, 12:19 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

1810818

OptionProbability

Google

Samsung

Oneplus

Apple

Vivo

Xiaomi

Other

Oppo

25

20

14

13

10

7

7

5

Is your phone listening to everything you say and using this to target ads?

Dec 12, 6:29 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM

6.19%chance

879326

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2965

1241

By EOY 2026, will iPhones have an AI that has access to and remembers everything you did on your phone?

May 21, 6:12 PMDec 25, 4:59 AM

31.26%chance

669220

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1483

674

Is it (mostly) the phones?

Mar 10, 5:20 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

67.34%chance

872820

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2668

1772

By 2034, will most Americans leave the house with only their phones (no wallet or keys)?

Apr 3, 10:02 PMApr 11, 3:59 AM

20.91%chance

372418

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1453

817

Will AI customer phone lines be normal by 2027?

Jun 14, 8:44 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

86.42%chance

351342

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1154

928

Will Starlink launch their own phone before 2028?

Oct 17, 11:38 PMJan 1, 6:59 AM

18.96%chance

101072

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2067

484

Before 2028, will popular mobile phones begin incorporating folding screens or other large moving parts?

Feb 9, 11:44 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

38.09%chance

11602

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1259

786

A flagship 3-way foldable phone enters the US market in 2025.

Nov 8, 10:17 PMNov 17, 5:59 AM

30.53%chance

4525

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1509

663

Will AI customer phone lines be normal by 2029?

Jun 13, 11:21 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

81.79%chance

14430

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1059

969

By 2029, AI can provide phone banking services as well as human operators, without annoying customers more than humans?

Jan 5, 10:44 AMJan 12, 8:00 AM

58.96%chance

12268

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1023

980

A flagship 3-way foldable phone enters the US market in 2026.

Nov 8, 10:18 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

50.82%chance

5220

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1017

984

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