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Prediction markets for Pi

Will Joe Biden live to see Luffy find the One Piece?

Feb 13, 7:58 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

21%chance

18649763

OptionVotes

YES

NO

16534

8756

Will Zohran be Abundance-pilled in his first year as mayor?

Oct 2, 2:34 AMJan 2, 3:31 AM

59.54%chance

3215777

OptionVotes

NO

YES

12130

8244

FDA approves YCT-529 male birth control pill before 2035?

Jul 1, 5:48 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

35.6%chance

64322

OptionVotes

YES

NO

13448

7436

Is pi^pi^pi^pi an integer?

Oct 19, 1:13 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

1.7%chance

603590

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3289

867

Is pi normal?

Oct 19, 12:35 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

93.64%chance

161172

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1369

919

Will low carbon vehicle sales (e.g. electric, hydrogen, PI hybrid) be more than 80% of all car sales in the USA by 2030?

Oct 1, 1:56 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

18.6%chance

10668

OptionVotes

YES

NO

287

123

Will humanity calculate pi to more than 1 Quadrillion (10^15) digits before the end of 2030?

Sep 15, 1:44 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

83.62%chance

16521

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1292

916

Will low carbon vehicle sales (e.g. electric, hydrogen, PI hybrid) be more than 50% of all car sales in the USA by 2030?

Oct 1, 1:55 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

35.74%chance

16473

OptionVotes

YES

NO

283

71

Is the quadrillionth digit of Pi a 6?

Mar 7, 3:48 AMJan 13, 8:00 AM

10.02%chance

29376

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1034

996

500 trillion digits of Pi calculated by the end of 2026?

May 17, 7:59 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

80%chance

8245

OptionVotes

NO

YES

214

65

When will low carbon vehicle sales (e.g. electric, hydrogen, PI hybrid) be more than 90% of all car sales in the USA?

Jul 30, 8:15 PMJul 31, 6:59 AM

42.04%chance

5177

OptionProbability

NO

YES

359

224

Will the Raspberry Pi 6 be released in 2026?

Dec 7, 5:39 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

18.73%chance

3145

OptionVotes

YES

NO

208

48

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