Pills News
Prediction markets for Pills
Is the "100% effective against solid tumors" cancer pill AOH1996 paper legit? [see description]
Aug 2, 10:37 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
23.75%chance
48190222
OptionVotes
7361
4947
Will Zohran be Abundance-pilled in his first year as mayor?
Oct 2, 2:34 AMJan 2, 3:31 AM
50.18%chance
209396
OptionVotes
10036
9965
FDA approves YCT-529 male birth control pill before 2035?
Jul 1, 5:48 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
35.6%chance
64322
OptionVotes
13448
7436
Conditional on Republican trifecta: will prescribing abortion pills be a US federal felony at the end of December 2026?
Dec 16, 2:30 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM
8.99%chance
293990
OptionVotes
3149
368
By the end of what year will there be a male anticonception pill on the market (approved in both the US and the EU)
Jan 22, 7:30 AMJan 31, 10:59 PM
261784
OptionProbability
33
33
12
8
7
6
1
Will any US state ban the morning after pill before the end of 2030?
Feb 22, 6:55 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM
67.73%chance
281437
OptionVotes
1065
110
Will I meaningfully choke from eating pills without fluids by 2030?
Nov 10, 3:02 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM
24%chance
8171
OptionVotes
165
39
Will the Comstock Act be used against the shipping of abortion pills nationally before 2028?
Mar 30, 4:05 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM
47.47%chance
990
OptionVotes
247
233
Will Trump eliminate ACA's requirement to cover the morning after pill before the end of 2027?
Aug 13, 4:21 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
33.86%chance
479
OptionVotes
140
72
Will Amberlynn Reid announce that she is no longer taking her Wegovy pill before April 1st 2026?
Mar 15, 2:22 PMApr 1, 3:59 AM
38%chance
458
OptionVotes
149
39
Will the leader of a nonwestern nuclear power make an extremely ASI-pilled public statement before 2031?
Jan 12, 8:07 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
49.61%chance
334
OptionVotes
1008
992
Will "Curing PMS with Hair Loss Pills" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
Aug 29, 10:41 AMFeb 1, 12:00 AM
14.16%chance
224
OptionVotes
1002
989