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Top stories

Sleep-Tech Firm Eight Sleep Raises $100 Million for AI Beds, Eyes China

Sleep-Tech Firm Eight Sleep Raises $100 Million for AI Beds, Eyes China

Authors

12

1 year ago

Prediction markets for Pod

Will Lex Friedman host a podcast from space before the end of 2027?

Jan 16, 11:30 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

3.56%chance

6714668

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5208

192

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky be on the Joe Rogan Experience podcast before the end of 2026?

Mar 5, 6:14 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

7.63%chance

6410487

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3090

120

Will the podcast “Dear Hank and John” be renamed “Dear John and Hank” in 2028?

Jun 23, 3:46 AMDec 31, 12:59 PM

80.79%chance

95738

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2051

488

Will we get in the pod and eat the bugs?

Sep 14, 5:02 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

40.2%chance

332567

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1197

355

Which multistrategy hedge fund (pod shop) will blow up by 2027 year end?

Oct 9, 12:53 PMJan 1, 2:59 AM

6817

OptionProbability

Other

None

Point72

Balyasny

Millennium

Citadel

48

38

4

4

3

3

Will Leopold Aschenbrenner go on a podcast by EOY 2026?

Sep 20, 8:46 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

71.12%chance

14772

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1052

102

Will Robert Wiblin (charity organizer, researcher and podcaster) be charged with any felony crime before 2030?

Jan 11, 12:38 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

5.23%chance

17673

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1129

961

Who will Hunter Biden do an interview with in 2026?

May 18, 8:28 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

7656

OptionProbability

Tucker Carlson

Nick Fuentes

Zeteo

Breaking Points, Krystal Kyle and Friends OR Drop Site News

Megyn Kelly

Pod Save America

Ben Shapiro

Glenn Greenwald

The Young Turks

100

100

100

62

50

34

31

28

12

Will the Podfic version of Animorphs: The Reckoning finish by January 1st, 2028?

Aug 14, 2:35 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

34.32%chance

2385

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1383

723

Will the All-In Podcast reach episode 300? (now 120)

Mar 17, 8:05 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

97.47%chance

4382

OptionVotes

NO

YES

448

13

What will be the MAX yield produced by my bell peppers 🫑 ?

May 30, 6:13 PMMay 30, 8:59 PM

657

OptionProbability

3 pods

4 pods

5 pods

1 pod

2 pods

28

20

20

19

13

Will "The inaugural Redwood Research podcast" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?

Jan 7, 2:22 AMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

14%chance

122

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1000

1000

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