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Top stories

Eight Sleep Raises $100 Million, Nears Unicorn Valuation for AI Sleep Tech

Eight Sleep Raises $100 Million, Nears Unicorn Valuation for AI Sleep Tech

Authors

11

8 hours ago

Prediction markets for Pod

Will any of @Mira 's pets appear on the Dwarkesh Podcast by end of 2025?

Sep 18, 3:58 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

2.4%chance

3163256

OptionVotes

YES

NO

71080

2433

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky be on the Joe Rogan Experience podcast before the end of 2025?

Mar 13, 6:29 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

61.65%chance

11828616

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2470

1592

Will DeepSeek go on Dwarkesh Podcast in 2025?

Jan 22, 6:59 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

9.83%chance

4824718

OptionVotes

YES

NO

25942

6512

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky be on the Joe Rogan Experience podcast before the end of 2026?

Mar 5, 6:14 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

65%chance

394283

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1142

995

Will we get in the pod and eat the bugs?

Sep 14, 5:02 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

31.31%chance

332492

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1122

492

Will Ross Ulbricht Be On The Joe Rogan Podcast Within 1 Year Of Release From Prison?

Jan 22, 1:00 PMJan 22, 4:40 AM

81.46%chance

171803

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2096

477

Will GPT-5 Appear on any Major Podcast in 2025?

Nov 6, 2:57 PMDec 31, 12:59 PM

50%chance

1100

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1000

1000

Which multistrategy hedge fund (pod shop) will blow up by 2027 year end?

Oct 9, 12:53 PMJan 1, 2:59 AM

490

OptionProbability

Other

Millennium

Citadel

Point72

Balyasny

None

53

10

10

10

10

8

What will be the MAX yield produced by my bell peppers 🫑 ?

May 30, 6:13 PMMay 30, 8:59 PM

657

OptionProbability

3 pods

4 pods

5 pods

1 pod

2 pods

28

20

20

19

13

Most of the microplastic comes from tires and industrial sources. Which will first be targeted by ban legislation?

Aug 23, 7:43 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

353

OptionProbability

Plastic bags

Fishing nets

Plastic straws

Coffee pods

Shrink-wrap

Single-use cups

Other

[removed option]

17

16

13

13

13

13

13

4

Will the Podfic version of Animorphs: The Reckoning finish by January 1st, 2028?

Aug 14, 2:35 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

47.73%chance

148

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1046

956

Will Birthing Pod be unbanned in Modern by the end of 2025?

Oct 19, 4:31 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

4.63%chance

26

OptionVotes

NO

YES

71

44

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