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Top stories

Sleep-Tech Firm Eight Sleep Raises $100 Million for AI Beds, Eyes China

Sleep-Tech Firm Eight Sleep Raises $100 Million for AI Beds, Eyes China

Authors

12

1 year ago

Prediction markets for Pod

Will Lex Friedman host a podcast from space before the end of 2027?

Jan 16, 11:30 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

3.56%chance

6714668

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5208

192

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky be on the Joe Rogan Experience podcast before the end of 2026?

Mar 5, 6:14 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

8.17%chance

6510917

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3018

126

Will the podcast “Dear Hank and John” be renamed “Dear John and Hank” in 2028?

Jun 23, 3:46 AMDec 31, 12:59 PM

80.79%chance

95738

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2051

488

Will we get in the pod and eat the bugs?

Sep 14, 5:02 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

26.19%chance

332817

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1076

605

Will Leopold Aschenbrenner go on a podcast by EOY 2026?

Sep 20, 8:46 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

36.66%chance

17985

OptionVotes

NO

YES

795

329

Which multistrategy hedge fund (pod shop) will blow up by 2027 year end?

Oct 9, 12:53 PMJan 1, 2:59 AM

6892

OptionProbability

Other

None

Balyasny

Point72

Millennium

Citadel

48

37

6

4

3

3

Who will Hunter Biden do an interview with in 2026?

May 18, 8:28 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

7656

OptionProbability

Tucker Carlson

Nick Fuentes

Zeteo

Breaking Points, Krystal Kyle and Friends OR Drop Site News

Megyn Kelly

Pod Save America

Ben Shapiro

Glenn Greenwald

The Young Turks

100

100

100

62

50

34

31

28

12

Will the Podfic version of Animorphs: The Reckoning finish by January 1st, 2028?

Aug 14, 2:35 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

34.32%chance

2385

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1383

723

Will the All-In Podcast reach episode 300? (now 120)

Mar 17, 8:05 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

97.47%chance

4382

OptionVotes

NO

YES

448

13

H3 Podcast (H3H3) resumes a somewhat regular schedule in 2026 and stays active for at least 6 months after

Oct 24, 12:04 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

12.01%chance

7221

OptionVotes

YES

NO

162

89

What will be the MAX yield produced by my bell peppers 🫑 ?

May 30, 6:13 PMMay 30, 8:59 PM

657

OptionProbability

3 pods

4 pods

5 pods

1 pod

2 pods

28

20

20

19

13

Will "The inaugural Redwood Research podcast" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?

Jan 7, 2:22 AMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

14%chance

122

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1000

1000

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