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Prediction markets for Poe

In 2028, will an AI be able to write poetry indistinguishable from that of a great Romantic poet?

Feb 20, 10:53 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

49.84%chance

23968851

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2700

584

When will Python development tool uv overtake Poetry in JetBrains surveys?

Nov 20, 11:05 AMDec 31, 12:00 AM

31905

OptionProbability

2026

2027

2028

Later or never

2024

2025

43

25

25

4

2

2

Will Mathieu van der Poel win 10 or more Monuments during his career?

Apr 1, 8:12 PMOct 15, 3:59 AM

74.87%chance

151613

OptionVotes

NO

YES

357

145

Will Mathieu van der Poel win all 5 monuments during his career?

Aug 8, 1:46 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

5.97%chance

12703

OptionVotes

YES

NO

683

68

Is most of Mathieu van der Poel's road cycling success still ahead of him as of October 2023?

Oct 24, 6:26 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

89.84%chance

12547

OptionVotes

NO

YES

316

47

How many monuments will Pogačar and Van der Poel win between the two of them in 2027?

Sep 13, 8:45 AMNov 10, 11:59 PM

4140

OptionProbability

4

3

5

2

1

0

28

25

21

16

6

5

Will Mathieu van der Poel ever win the Velo d'Or award?

Oct 25, 8:28 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

42.64%chance

432

OptionVotes

YES

NO

98

83

In 2028, will an AI be able to write poetry indistinguishable from that of a great Romantic poet?

Aug 1, 4:23 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

48.65%chance

113

OptionVotes

NO

YES

107

92

Will Jose Luis Ricon become the subject of POETRY?

Sep 2, 4:55 PM

20

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