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Prediction markets for Poe

In 2028, will an AI be able to write poetry indistinguishable from that of a great Romantic poet?

Feb 20, 10:53 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

45%chance

23565646

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2795

498

Will Mathieu van der Poel win 10 or more Monuments during his career?

Apr 1, 8:12 PMOct 15, 3:59 AM

64%chance

141371

OptionVotes

NO

YES

269

183

Will Mathieu van der Poel win all 5 monuments during his career?

Aug 8, 1:46 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

5.97%chance

12703

OptionVotes

YES

NO

683

68

Is most of Mathieu van der Poel's road cycling success still ahead of him as of October 2023?

Oct 24, 6:26 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

85.91%chance

12487

OptionVotes

NO

YES

256

55

When will Python development tool uv overtake Poetry in JetBrains surveys?

Nov 20, 11:05 AMDec 31, 12:00 AM

2130

OptionProbability

2025

2026

2027

2028

Later or never

2024

17

17

17

17

17

15

Will I like the Poetic Edda?

Jul 14, 8:16 PMAug 13, 8:16 PM

30.56%chance

354

OptionVotes

YES

NO

151

66

Will Mathieu van der Poel ever win the Velo d'Or award?

Oct 25, 8:28 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

42.64%chance

432

OptionVotes

YES

NO

98

83

In 2028, will an AI be able to write poetry indistinguishable from that of a great Romantic poet?

Aug 1, 4:23 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

45%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

Will Jose Luis Ricon become the subject of POETRY?

Sep 2, 4:55 PM

20

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