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Prediction markets for Poker

🃏Which players will win the World Series of Poker Main event at least once before the end of 2040? [ADD RESPONSES]

Apr 30, 3:41 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

71982

OptionProbability

Linus Loeliger

Isaac Haxton

Daniel Negreanu

Niklas Astedt

Ben Yu

Rainer Kempe

Sean Winter

Phil Ivey

16

13

11

9

4

3

2

2

Will any LLM produce a reasonable poker simulation, as judged by Nate Silver, by the end of 2028?

May 22, 6:16 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

53.98%chance

91594

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1083

923

Will I be able to pay for my kids' college fund through poker?

Mar 8, 2:14 AMMar 14, 7:59 AM

6.69%chance

11707

OptionVotes

YES

NO

717

120

Will there be a RPS Poker / Cool Poker event in the World Series of Poker before the end of 2030?

Jun 15, 3:55 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

7.72%chance

3480

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1346

1029

Will Manifold poker nights attendance exceed Manifold daily active users?

Apr 13, 2:06 AMApr 20, 3:59 AM

31.36%chance

9480

OptionVotes

YES

NO

267

157

Will Daniel Negreanu win the World Series of Poker main event before the end of 2034?

Apr 30, 3:39 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

11.26%chance

6418

OptionVotes

YES

NO

391

55

Will a woman make the final table at the 2026 World Series of Poker main event?

Jun 3, 2:42 PMAug 31, 10:59 PM

17%chance

7296

OptionVotes

YES

NO

221

45

Will Daniel Negreanu win a World Series of Poker Bracelet in 2026

May 31, 12:43 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

19%chance

11254

OptionVotes

YES

NO

206

48

Will Nik Airball become personan non grata in the Poker community before 2026

Apr 19, 10:26 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM

14.35%chance

8220

OptionVotes

YES

NO

342

84

Which state will be the next to legalize and regulate online poker?

May 11, 2:15 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

11215

OptionProbability

Other

Colorado

California

Kentucky

New York

Arkansas

60

20

9

5

3

1

World Series of Poker! Will Daniel Negreanu break even for the 2026 WSOP on his YouTube vlog?

Jun 23, 4:50 PMJul 31, 11:59 PM

32.76%chance

460

OptionVotes

YES

NO

133

79

Will the 2027 World Series of Poker Main Event have a record number of entries?

May 28, 7:10 PMJul 31, 11:59 PM

47.88%chance

552

OptionVotes

YES

NO

104

96

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