Poker News

Manifold features launched in 2026

Jan 5, 11:40 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

177149958

OptionProbability

Predictle / any forecasting game

Charity lottery

User calibration

Better Explore page / Feed

Subscription plan

Interest on all positions

Merch store

Improved liquidity handling

Market Creator can approve/deny/vet user submitted answers to their markets

interesting comment notifications

Space the "X" and "Add" buttons farther apart on M.C./Set markets (or change the UI for this altogether)

Early resolve NO for sum-to-1 multi-choice options

UI/UX changes that favor limit orders

Negative risk conversion

First class N/A resolution

Market comment section search/filter

finer resolution betting near 0%/100%

Re-implement "Unlinked Multiple Choice" as "A bunch of full binary markets that happen to be displayed on the same page"

Groups / communities

An update to the loans / margin / capitalization system that Evan Actually Likes

Any A/B tested UI change

Non third-party sign in

Private manifold instances

Clans

Poker

Parlays

Paid DMs

100

Will any LLM produce a reasonable poker simulation, as judged by Nate Silver, by the end of 2028?

May 22, 6:16 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

53.98%chance

91594

OptionVotes

YES

1083

923

🃏Which players will win the World Series of Poker Main event at least once before the end of 2040? [ADD RESPONSES]

Apr 30, 3:41 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

61440

OptionProbability

Daniel Negreanu

Niklas Astedt

Linus Loeliger

Isaac Haxton

Rainer Kempe

Ben Yu

Sean Winter

Phil Ivey

Will me and poker opp play poker at mop 2026

Sep 15, 11:17 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

83.06%chance

7716

OptionVotes

YES

221

Will I be able to pay for my kids' college fund through poker?

Mar 8, 2:14 AMMar 14, 7:59 AM

6.69%chance

11707

OptionVotes

YES

717

120

Will there be a RPS Poker / Cool Poker event in the World Series of Poker before the end of 2030?

Jun 15, 3:55 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

7.72%chance

3480

OptionVotes

YES

1346

1029

Will Manifold poker nights attendance exceed Manifold daily active users?

Apr 13, 2:06 AMApr 20, 3:59 AM

31.36%chance

9480

OptionVotes

YES

267

157

Will Daniel Negreanu win the World Series of Poker main event before the end of 2034?

Apr 30, 3:39 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

6.4%chance

5404

OptionVotes

YES

542

Will a woman make the final table at the 2026 World Series of Poker main event?

Jun 3, 2:42 PMAug 31, 10:59 PM

16.82%chance

6296

OptionVotes

YES

222

Will Nik Airball become personan non grata in the Poker community before 2026

Apr 19, 10:26 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM

14.35%chance

8220

OptionVotes

YES

342

Which state will be the next to legalize and regulate online poker?

May 11, 2:15 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

11215

OptionProbability

Other

Colorado

California

Kentucky

New York

Arkansas

Ammon’s poker room dealer bank

Apr 12, 6:16 PM

Poker News

Prediction markets for Poker

Prediction markets for Poker

Prediction markets for Poker

Manifold features launched in 2026

Will any LLM produce a reasonable poker simulation, as judged by Nate Silver, by the end of 2028?

🃏Which players will win the World Series of Poker Main event at least once before the end of 2040? [ADD RESPONSES]

Will me and poker opp play poker at mop 2026

Will I be able to pay for my kids' college fund through poker?

Will there be a RPS Poker / Cool Poker event in the World Series of Poker before the end of 2030?

Will Manifold poker nights attendance exceed Manifold daily active users?

Will Daniel Negreanu win the World Series of Poker main event before the end of 2034?

Will a woman make the final table at the 2026 World Series of Poker main event?

Will Nik Airball become personan non grata in the Poker community before 2026

Which state will be the next to legalize and regulate online poker?

Ammon’s poker room dealer bank

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